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LU9DCE > ALERT 19.01.24 08:12z 65 Lines 2063 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 5416_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 19-JAN24
Path: HB9ON<IW0QNL<VE2PKT<W0ARP<LU9DCE
Sent: 240119/0801Z 5416@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
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PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
PHP SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
COPYRIGHT 2023 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
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SPC - NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF FRI JAN 19 02:43:01 UTC 2024
NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF FRI JAN 19 02:43:01 UTC 2024.
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SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF FRI JAN 19 02:43:01 UTC 2024
NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF FRI JAN 19 02:43:01 UTC 2024.
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SPC JAN 19, 2024 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0625 PM CST THU JAN 18 2024
VALID 190100Z - 191200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH FLORIDA THIS
EVENING.
...SOUTH FL...
WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY IS CURRENTLY DRAPED ACROSS SOUTH FL AND
APPEARS TO BE PARTLY RESPONSIBLE FOR WEAK CONVECTION THAT IS NOTED
ACROSS EASTERN COLLIER/WESTERN BROWARD/SOUTHERN PALM BEACH COUNTY
REGION. 00Z SOUNDING FROM MFL EXHIBITS MLCAPE ON THE ORDER OF 800
J/KG WHICH IS LIKELY ADEQUATE FOR UPDRAFTS POTENTIALLY ATTAINING
HEIGHTS NECESSARY FOR LIGHTNING DISCHARGE. HOWEVER, LIGHTNING IS NOT
CURRENTLY NOTED WITH THESE SHOWERS AND THE DEEPEST UPDRAFTS (WITH
LIGHTNING) ARE ROUGHLY 275 MI EAST OF THE SOUTHERN PENINSULA. WILL
MAINTAIN 10% PROBABILITY FOR LIGHTNING WITH THIS ACTIVITY GIVEN THE
WEAK BOUNDARY-LAYER CONVERGENCE AND MODEST THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE
OBSERVED AT MFL.
..DARROW.. 01/19/2024
READ MORE
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