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LU9DCE > ALERT 06.02.24 11:07z 79 Lines 2822 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 6363_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 06-FEB24
Path: HB9ON<IW0QNL<ON0AR<GB7CIP<KA1VSC<K7EK<W0ARP<LU9DCE
Sent: 240206/0800Z 6363@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
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PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
PHP SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
COPYRIGHT 2023 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
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SPC - NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF TUE FEB 6 02:53:02 UTC 2024
NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF TUE FEB 6 02:53:02 UTC 2024.
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SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF TUE FEB 6 02:53:02 UTC 2024
NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF TUE FEB 6 02:53:02 UTC 2024.
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SPC FEB 6, 2024 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0649 PM CST MON FEB 05 2024
VALID 060100Z - 061200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
THE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS APPEARS NEGLIGIBLE ACROSS THE U.S.
THROUGH TONIGHT.
...01Z UPDATE...
...FLORIDA...
WEAK THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY PERSIST ANOTHER HOUR OR TWO INLAND OF
COASTAL AREAS, NEAR AND EAST/SOUTHEAST OF TAMPA. THIS APPEARS
FOCUSED BENEATH THE MID-LEVEL COLD CORE NEAR A LINGERING MID/UPPER
LOW CENTER, WITHIN LARGER-SCALE MID-LEVEL TROUGHING STILL DIGGING
ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND FLORIDA VICINITY. MODELS
CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THAT THIS TROUGHING WILL BEGIN TO REDEVELOP EAST
OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA OVERNIGHT, AS MORE NOTABLE SURFACE
CYCLOGENESIS COMMENCES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS.
THIS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY FURTHER LOW-LEVEL COOLING AND DRYING
ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO, FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTHERN
PENINSULA. HOWEVER, IT DOES APPEAR THAT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT MAY PERSIST AND PERHAPS INCREASE A BIT OVERNIGHT
OFFSHORE OF ATLANTIC COASTAL AREAS, AS THE BOUNDARY-LAYER,
PARTICULARLY NEAR THE GULF STREAM, MOISTENS AND DESTABILIZES BENEATH
THE COLD AIR ALOFT.
...NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION/GREAT BASIN INTO CALIFORNIA...
BASED ON SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY, LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT
APPEARS TO BE CONTRIBUTING TO INCREASING/DEEPENING CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT, BENEATH THE MID-LEVEL THERMAL TROUGH, WHERE INSOLATION
HAS CONTRIBUTED TO WEAK DESTABILIZATION. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY
CONTINUE TO BECOME CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LIGHTNING, AT LEAST INTO
EARLY EVENING, BEFORE THIS POTENTIAL BEGINS TO DIMINISH WITH THE
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.
..KERR.. 02/06/2024
READ MORE
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