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LU9DCE > ALERT 07.06.24 02:00z 282 Lines 7867 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 9798_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 14-MAY24
Path: HB9ON<IW0QNL<VE2PKT<W0ARP<LU9DCE
Sent: 240514/0700Z 9798@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
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PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
PHP SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
COPYRIGHT 2024 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 239
WW 239 SEVERE TSTM LA MS CW 132225Z - 140500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 239
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
525 PM CDT MON MAY 13 2024
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS
* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON FROM 525 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75
MPH LIKELY
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...A FAST MOVING LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHWEST
LOUISIANA WILL TRACK ACROSS THE WATCH AREA DURING THE EVENING.
DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS, ALONG WITH A
POSSIBLE TORNADO OR TWO ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF ACTIVITY.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHWEST OF
INTRACOASTAL CITY LA TO 55 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GULFPORT MS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 236...WW 237...WW 238...
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO
2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A
FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR
27035.
...HART
READ MORE
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 239 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0239 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 239
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S HUM TO
40 NNE ASD.
..SPC..05/14/24
ATTN...WFO...LCH...LIX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 239
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC051-057-071-075-087-140340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
JEFFERSON LAFOURCHE ORLEANS
PLAQUEMINES ST. BERNARD
MSC045-047-059-109-140340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HANCOCK HARRISON JACKSON
PEARL RIVER
GMZ532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-140340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
READ MORE
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 238 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0238 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 238
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 W MFE TO
50 ESE LRD.
..SPC..05/14/24
ATTN...WFO...BRO...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 238
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC047-061-215-247-261-427-489-140140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROOKS CAMERON HIDALGO
JIM HOGG KENEDY STARR
WILLACY
GMZ130-132-135-150-155-140140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TX TO THE RIO GRANDE RIVER OUT
20 NM
READ MORE
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 237 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0237 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 237
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N VCT TO
45 NNE VCT TO 50 W HOU TO 25 S UTS TO 25 NE UTS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0770
..GLEASON..05/13/24
ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 237
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC003-011-019-023-053-115-132140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU
CAMERON JEFFERSON DAVIS VERNON
TXC039-071-157-167-199-201-239-241-245-291-321-339-351-361-373-
407-457-481-132140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRAZORIA CHAMBERS FORT BEND
GALVESTON HARDIN HARRIS
JACKSON JASPER JEFFERSON
LIBERTY MATAGORDA MONTGOMERY
NEWTON ORANGE POLK
SAN JACINTO TYLER WHARTON
READ MORE
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SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF TUE MAY 14 03:30:13 UTC 2024
NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF TUE MAY 14 03:30:13 UTC 2024.
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SPC MAY 14, 2024 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0755 PM CDT MON MAY 13 2024
VALID 140100Z - 141200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF EASTERN LOUISIANA...
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS AND PARTS OF EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI INTO THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
...SUMMARY...
SEVERE-HAIL-PRODUCING STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
FOR A FEW MORE HOURS. SEVERE GUSTS MAY ALSO CONTINUE INTO THE
EVENING WITH STORMS IN LOUISIANA AS THEY MOVE ALONG THE GULF COAST.
FINALLY, ISOLATED INSTANCES OF HAIL AND DAMAGING GUSTS ARE STILL
POSSIBLE THIS EVENING ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.
...01Z UPDATE...
A MID-LEVEL TROUGH CONTINUES TO TRAVERSE THE SOUTHERN U.S., WITH A
MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS FUELING STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG IMMEDIATE PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST. A TRAILING OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO PROGRESS ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS, WHERE
HAIL-PRODUCING SUPERCELLS CONTINUE TO MOVE OFFSHORE INTO THE GULF OF
MEXICO. LARGE HAIL REMAINS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS
WHILE STORMS REMAIN ONSHORE. MEANWHILE, AN ORGANIZED BOW-ECHO MCS
CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS LA, WHERE MULTIPLE SEVERE GUSTS (SOME OVER
65 KTS) HAVE BEEN REPORTED. THIS MCS IS BEGINNING TO MOVE TOWARD A
COOLER, MORE STABLE AIRMASS, WHICH SHOULD DAMPEN THE SEVERE WIND
THREAT TO A DEGREE. NONETHELESS, AT LEAST A FEW MORE SEVERE GUSTS
MAY CONTINUE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE GULF COAST, WHERE AT LEAST SLIGHT
RISK PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN MAINTAINED. FINALLY, A FEW SUPERCELLS
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL FL PENINSULA, WHILE ADDITIONAL
STORMS CONTINUE TO APPROACH THE PENINSULA FROM THE GULF. HERE, THE
SEVERE THREAT SHOULD ALSO SUBSIDE WITH NOCTURNAL COOLING. IN THE
MEANTIME, AN ISOLATED INSTANCE OF SEVERE HAIL OR WIND CANNOT BE
RULED OUT. A COUPLE OF STRONG STORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE OZARKS CLOSER TO A WEAK SURFACE LOW. BEFORE
NOCTURNAL COOLING, ONE OF THE STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE A
MARGINALLY SEVERE GUST OR INSTANCE OF HAIL.
..SQUITIERI.. 05/14/2024
READ MORE
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