| |
LU9DCE > ALERT 23.07.24 02:31z 319 Lines 9531 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 4026_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 07-JUL24
Path: HB9ON<IW0QNL<VE2PKT<W0ARP<LU9DCE
Sent: 240707/0701Z 4026@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
__ _ _ ___ ____ ___ ____ ____ ____ ____
( ) / )( \/ _ \( \ / __)( __) ( _ \( _ \/ ___)
/ (_/\) \/ (\__ )) D (( (__ ) _) ) _ ( ) _ (\___ \
\____/\____/(___/(____/ \___)(____) (____/(____/(____/
PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
PHP SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
COPYRIGHT 2024 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 510
WW 510 SEVERE TSTM KS 062240Z - 070500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 510
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
540 PM CDT SAT JUL 6 2024
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST KANSAS
* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON FROM 540 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT
CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75
MPH POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL SAG SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS
THE WATCH AREA THIS EVENING, WITH A PERSISTENT THREAT OF LOCALLY
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF GARDEN CITY KS TO 25 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF MEDICINE
LODGE KS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 508...WW 509...
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO
2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A
FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR
30025.
...HART
READ MORE
=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=
SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 510 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0510 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 510
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MOORE..07/07/24
ATTN...WFO...DDC...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 510
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-025-033-047-055-057-069-083-097-145-151-185-070140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CLARK COMANCHE
EDWARDS FINNEY FORD
GRAY HODGEMAN KIOWA
PAWNEE PRATT STAFFORD
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
READ MORE
=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=
SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 509 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0509 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 509
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE SLN
TO 10 N BIE TO 10 ESE OMA.
..MOORE..07/07/24
ATTN...WFO...OAX...EAX...TOP...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 509
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC071-145-070140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FREMONT PAGE
KSC005-013-027-043-085-117-131-149-161-201-070140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON BROWN CLAY
DONIPHAN JACKSON MARSHALL
NEMAHA POTTAWATOMIE RILEY
WASHINGTON
MOC005-087-070140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON HOLT
READ MORE
=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=
SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 508 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0508 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 508
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE ITR
TO 55 SW HLC TO 35 NNW RSL TO 45 W CNK TO 35 SSW HSI TO 25 SSW
EAR TO 35 S BBW TO 35 SSE ONL.
..MOORE..07/06/24
ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...DDC...LBF...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 508
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC051-063-071-089-101-123-135-141-163-165-171-195-203-062340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ELLIS GOVE GREELEY
JEWELL LANE MITCHELL
NESS OSBORNE ROOKS
RUSH SCOTT TREGO
WICHITA
NEC001-019-035-059-077-079-081-093-099-121-125-129-143-163-169-
181-185-062340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BUFFALO CLAY
FILLMORE GREELEY HALL
HAMILTON HOWARD KEARNEY
MERRICK NANCE NUCKOLLS
POLK SHERMAN THAYER
WEBSTER YORK
READ MORE
=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=
SPC MD 1549
MD 1549 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 510... FOR SOUTHWEST KANSAS
REGION
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1549
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1032 PM CDT SAT JUL 06 2024
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHWEST KANSAS REGION
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 510...
VALID 070332Z - 070500Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 510
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...STRONG/SEVERE CONVECTION WILL SPREAD ACROSS SOUTHWEST
KANSAS TOWARD EXTREME NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA INTO THE EARLY-MORNING
HOURS.
DISCUSSION...A SLOW-MOVING CLUSTER OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAS
OVERSPREAD THE WESTERN HALF OF WW510. THIS ACTIVITY IS PROPAGATING
SOUTHEAST INTO A STRENGTHENING LLJ THAT EXTENDS ACROSS THE EASTERN
TX PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHWEST KS. LATEST RADAR TRENDS SUGGEST
NEW/ROBUST UPDRAFTS ARE EVOLVING OVER SOUTHWEST KS, AND SATELLITE
IMAGERY SUGGESTS CONVECTION IS NOW DEEPENING OVER WICHITA COUNTY,
ABOUT 40 MI NORTHWEST OF GARDEN CITY. LEADING EDGE OF THE COMPLEX IS
NOT MOVING PARTICULARLY FAST AS THERE IS A PROPENSITY FOR NEW
UPDRAFTS ALONG THE NORTHWEST FLANK, WHERE LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION
MAY BE MAXIMIZED. WITH TIME THIS EVOLVING MCS SHOULD PROGRESS INTO
NORTHWEST OK, AND THE PRIMARY RISK REMAINS DAMAGING WINDS.
..DARROW.. 07/07/2024
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...GLD...AMA...
LAT...LON 38600036 37079899 36900044 38400140 38600036
READ MORE
=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=
SPC JUL 7, 2024 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 2
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0926 PM CDT SAT JUL 06 2024
VALID 070100Z - 071200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE CENTRAL PLAINS...
CORRECTED FOR FLIPPED THUNDER LINE
...SUMMARY...
SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF
THE CENTRAL PLAINS. A FEW MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
FURTHER WEST INTO THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS, AND
NORTHWARD INTO THE MID MISSOURI VALLEY.
...CENTRAL PLAINS/SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/MID MISSOURI
VALLEY...
THE LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE
EASTERN DAKOTAS, WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWARD FROM
THE LOW INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. AT THE SURFACE, A COLD FRONT IS
LOCATED FROM WESTERN NEBRASKA INTO SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA, ALONG
WHICH A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING. FURTHER
SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE WARM SECTOR, A COUPLE CONVECTIVE SYSTEMS ARE
ONGOING ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH. AN ORGANIZED
LINE SEGMENT IS LOCATED IN FAR SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA, ALONG THE WESTERN
EDGE OF A CORRIDOR OF MODERATE INSTABILITY, WHERE THE RAP IS
ANALYZING MLCAPE IN THE 1000 TO 1500 J/KG RANGE. WSR-88D VWPS IN
THIS AREA HAVE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE, WITH WINDS
GRADUALLY VEERING TO WESTERLY IN THE MID-LEVELS. THIS WIND PROFILE
WILL CONTINUE TO BE FAVORABLE FOR LINEAR ORGANIZATION, AND A
WIND-DAMAGE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THE VICINITY OF FAR
SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA AND FAR NORTHWEST MISSOURI THIS EVENING. HAIL
WILL ALSO LIKELY ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER CELLS EMBEDDED IN THIS LINE.
FURTHER TO THE SOUTHWEST INTO WEST-CENTRAL KANSAS, A SEVERE
CONVECTIVE CLUSTER IS ALSO ONGOING ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF A
NORTH-TO-SOUTH CORRIDOR OF MODERATE INSTABILITY. NEAR THIS AREA, THE
RAP IS ANALYZING MLCAPE IN THE 1000 TO 2000 J/KG RANGE. THIS
CONVECTION IS LOCATED JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE DODGE CITY WSR-88D
VWP, WHICH HAS 0-6 KM SHEAR NEAR 40 KNOTS. THIS SHEAR ENVIRONMENT
SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO CONTINUE A THREAT FOR SUPERCELLS THIS EVENING.
SUPERCELLS WILL LIKELY BE CAPABLE OF ISOLATED LARGE HAIL. A FEW
SEVERE WIND GUSTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THE ONGOING CONVECTIVE
SYSTEMS IN KANSAS AND NEBRASKA ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THE
LATE EVENING, BUT THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD BECOME MORE ISOLATED WITH
TIME AS INSTABILITY GRADUALLY DECREASES ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
..BROYLES.. 07/07/2024
READ MORE
=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
HYPERTEXT PREPROCESSOR - DEVELOPED BY LU9DCE - VERSION 3
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
