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LU9DCE > ALERT 26.06.25 07:50z 419 Lines 12998 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 5604_LU9DCE
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Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 26-JUN25
Path: HB9ON<HB9ON<PI8ZTM<PI8LAP<VE2PKT<PY2BIL<LU9DCE
Sent: 250626/0730Z 5604@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
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PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
PHP SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
COPYRIGHT 2024 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 462
WW 462 SEVERE TSTM AL GA CW 260200Z - 260800Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 462
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1000 PM EDT WED JUN 25 2025
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA
GEORGIA
COASTAL WATERS
* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 1000
PM UNTIL 400 AM EDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
SUMMARY...THE ENVIRONMENT WILL SUPPORT A RELATIVELY LONG-DURATION
POTENTIAL OF SEVERE STORMS INTO THE OVERNIGHT, WITH A LOOSELY
ORGANIZED COMPLEX OF STORMS MOVING GENERALLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD
TONIGHT OUT OF SOUTH CAROLINA INTO GEORGIA, WHILE ADDITIONAL STORMS
CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHWEST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. WIND DAMAGE
IS THE PRIMARY HAZARD.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST
OF AUBURN AL TO 35 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF BRUNSWICK GA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 459...WW 460...WW 461...
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO
1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW
CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR
07020.
...GUYER
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 459
WW 459 SEVERE TSTM GA NC SC CW 251915Z - 260400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 459
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
315 PM EDT WED JUN 25 2025
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST GEORGIA
CENTRAL AND WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
SOUTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS
* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FROM 315 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT
EDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS IS IN PLACE ACROSS THE
WATCH AREA THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP,
TRACKING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE EVENING. DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND SOME HAIL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MORE INTENSE CORES.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES EAST NORTHEAST
OF FAYETTEVILLE NC TO 20 MILES NORTHWEST OF ATHENS GA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.
&&
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO
1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A
FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR
02025.
...HART
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 462 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0462 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS FOR WATCH 0462 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
READ MORE
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SPC TORNADO WATCH 461 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0461 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 461
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 W LNR TO
20 SW VOK TO 10 NNE VOK.
WW 461 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 260300Z.
..SQUITIERI..06/26/25
ATTN...WFO...ARX...DMX...MPX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 461
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
WIC023-103-260300-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD RICHLAND
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
READ MORE
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 460 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0460 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 460
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SQUITIERI..06/26/25
ATTN...WFO...FSD...DMX...OAX...GID...LBF...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 460
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC027-047-085-133-260240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL CRAWFORD HARRISON
MONONA
NEC001-021-023-037-039-053-079-081-099-121-125-141-143-177-
260240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BURT BUTLER
COLFAX CUMING DODGE
HALL HAMILTON KEARNEY
MERRICK NANCE PLATTE
POLK WASHINGTON
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
READ MORE
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 459 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0459 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 459
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE CHA
TO 15 NW AND TO 25 NNE OGB TO 60 ESE CHS.
..MOORE..06/26/25
ATTN...WFO...FFC...CAE...GSP...RAH...ILM...CHS...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 459
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC011-013-033-059-073-085-105-117-119-125-133-135-137-139-141-
147-157-163-165-181-187-189-195-211-219-221-237-245-251-257-265-
297-301-303-311-317-260340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANKS BARROW BURKE
CLARKE COLUMBIA DAWSON
ELBERT FORSYTH FRANKLIN
GLASCOCK GREENE GWINNETT
HABERSHAM HALL HANCOCK
HART JACKSON JEFFERSON
JENKINS LINCOLN LUMPKIN
MCDUFFIE MADISON MORGAN
OCONEE OGLETHORPE PUTNAM
RICHMOND SCREVEN STEPHENS
TALIAFERRO WALTON WARREN
WASHINGTON WHITE WILKES
SCC001-003-005-009-011-013-017-019-029-035-037-047-049-053-063-
065-075-081-260340-
SC
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SPC MD 1449
MD 1449 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 459...462... FOR EASTERN GEORGIA
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1449
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1012 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN GEORGIA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 459...462...
VALID 260312Z - 260515Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 459, 462
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A CONVECTIVE LINE WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH INTO EASTERN
GEORGIA WITH A DAMAGING WIND AND SEVERE HAIL THREAT FOR THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.
DISCUSSION...A LOOSELY ORGANIZED MCS CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTHWEST
INTO EASTERN GA WITH A RECENT HISTORY OF PRODUCING 40-50 MPH WINDS
AND SWATHS OF WIND DAMAGE. ADDITIONALLY, A FEW SEVERE HAIL REPORTS
HAVE BEEN NOTED WITH SOME OF THE DEEPER CORES. HOWEVER, THE MCS
REMAINS OUTFLOW DOMINANT, AND GOES IR IMAGERY OVER THE PAST 2 HOURS
SHOWS SLOWLY WARMING CLOUD-TOP TEMPERATURES, INDICATIVE OF A GRADUAL
WEAKENING TREND. IN GENERAL, THE MCS SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY
WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AS MLCIN SLOWLY INCREASES VIA
CONTINUED NOCTURNAL COOLING. IN THE SHORT TERM (NEXT 1-2 HOURS),
STRONGER EMBEDDED CELLS WITHIN THE LINE WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE, AS
EVIDENCE BY RECENT ECHO TOPS BRIEFLY REACHING UP TO 50 KFT, AND
TRANSIENT, BUT INTENSE, UPDRAFTS DEVELOPING DOWNSTREAM ACROSS
SOUTHERN GA. THESE SHORT-TERM TRENDS SUGGESTS THAT THE
NEAR-STORM/DOWNSTREAM ENVIRONMENT WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT DEEP
CONVECTION. AS SUCH, THE EXPECTATION IS FOR A CONTINUATION OF THE
MCS WITH EMBEDDED SWATHS OF STRONGER WINDS AND SPORADIC LARGE HAIL
ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEVELOPMENT (AND COLLAPSE) OF DEEPER UPDRAFTS
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LINE.
..MOORE.. 06/26/2025
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...
LAT...LON 33318240 33158169 32888123 32618092 32458081 32178090
31688129 31428177 31388230 31448277 31648328 31928355
32208370 32458368 32768352 33318240
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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SPC JUN 26, 2025 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0804 PM CDT WED JUN 25 2025
VALID 260100Z - 261200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY
TONIGHT FOR PARTS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN GEORGIA...
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LATE
EVENING FOR A SMALL AREA AROUND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN...AND INTO
TONIGHT FROM SOUTH CAROLINA INTO SOUTHERN ALABAMA...
...SUMMARY...
DAMAGING OUTFLOW GUSTS AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS FROM SOUTH CAROLINA TO SOUTHERN ALABAMA.
A COUPLE OF TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE SHORT TERM IN THE
VICINITY OF SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN.
...SOUTHEAST TONIGHT...
CLUSTERS OF STORMS ARE ONGOING ACROSS SC, WHERE OUTFLOW MERGERS HAVE
LED TO CONSOLIDATION OF A COLD POOL. THE STORMS WILL LIKELY PERSIST
FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS WHILE SPREADING SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE
COASTAL PLAINS OF SC/GA, SUSTAINED BY STEEPER-THAN-USUAL MIDLEVEL
LAPSE RATES AND STRONG BUOYANCY. ISOLATED LARGE HAIL OF 1-1.5
INCHES IN DIAMETER WILL REMAIN A POSSIBILITY WITH THE STRONGER
EMBEDDED STORMS (ESPECIALLY WITH MERGERS), BUT DAMAGING OUTFLOW
GUSTS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH COLLAPSING CORES IN THE STEEP
LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT WITH STRONG DOWNDRAFT POTENTIAL (AS SUGGESTED
BY DCAPE OF 1000-1500 J/KG).
FARTHER SOUTHWEST, A FEW STRONG-SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH ABOUT 02-03Z ALONG THE CONGLOMERATE OUTFLOW FROM SOUTHWEST
GA INTO SOUTHERN AL.
...SOUTHWEST WI/SOUTHEAST MN/NORTHEAST IA THIS EVENING...
SEVERAL TORNADOES HAVE BEEN REPORTED WITH SUPERCELLS IN A BROKEN
BAND FROM NORTHEAST IA ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST MN INTO SOUTHWEST WI.
THESE STORMS HAVE TRENDED TOWARD A MORE LINEAR MODE OVER TIME AND
THE TORNADO THREAT APPEARS TO HAVE ALREADY PEAKED. PRIOR TO THE
STORMS WEAKENING EARLY TONIGHT, THE POTENTIAL FOR A COUPLE OF
TORNADOES WILL PERSIST FOR ANOTHER 1-2 HOURS WITH THE STRONGER
EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS INTERACTING WITH THE WARM FRONT, WHERE LOW-LEVEL
HODOGRAPH CURVATURE/SHEAR ARE MAXIMIZED.
...EASTERN NE/WESTERN IA THIS EVENING...
CONVECTION HAS BEEN LARGELY UNDERCUT BY CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW FROM
EASTERN NE INTO WESTERN IA. MODERATE BUOYANCY REMAINS IMMEDIATELY
TO THE SOUTH OF THE AGGREGATE OUTFLOW/EFFECTIVE FRONTAL BOUNDARY,
AND PROFILES WILL REMAIN SUFFICIENTLY MOIST TO MAINTAIN ELEVATED
CONVECTION INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. HOWEVER, THE POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE STORMS APPEARS TO BE DIMINISHING WITH TIME, WITH ONLY
ISOLATED STRONG OUTFLOW GUSTS AND/OR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL EXPECTED
BEYOND 01Z.
...NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT...
WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS, SOME WITH SUPERCELL STRUCTURE, WILL BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH ABOUT 03Z. THEREAFTER, CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO
WEAKEN CONSISTENTLY WITH DIURNAL STABILIZATION. IN THE INTERIM,
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL OF 1-1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER WILL BE POSSIBLE.
..THOMPSON.. 06/26/2025
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