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LU9DCE > ALERT 22.11.19 07:03z 86 Lines 4745 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 2920_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: Storm Prediction Center 22 11
Path: HB9ON<IW2OHX<IR2UBX<DB0RES<DB0ERF<OK0NAG<OK0NBR<OK2PEN<N3HYM<N7HPX<
LU9DCE
Sent: 191122/0700Z 2920@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.19
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/ (_/\) \/ (\__ )) D (( (__ ) _) ) _ ( ) _ (\___ \
\____/\____/(___/(____/ \___)(____) (____/(____/(____/
ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
SLACKWARE LINUX - HELLOCODELINUX@GMAIL.COM
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SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1130
PM CST Thu Nov 21 2019
Valid 221200Z - 231200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS
OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND LOUISIANA...
...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are expected from the southern Plains
into the lower Mississippi Valley today. A marginal tornado threat
and potential for strong wind gusts will be possible.
...Southeast Texas/Louisiana... An upper-level low will move
eastward across the central High Plains today as west-southwesterly
mid-level flow remains over the southern Plains. A cold
front will advance southeastward onto the Texas Coastal Plains
today. Thunderstorms may be ongoing along or ahead of the front
at the start of the period. As the front moves southeastward
across southeast Texas around midday, convective coverage should
increase as surface temperatures warm and weak destabilization
occurs. Forecast soundings this afternoon ahead of the front from
Houston northeastward into north-central Louisiana increase MLCAPE to
around 500-800 J/kg and have moderate deep-layer shear profiles. This
environment should support a marginal wind-damage threat with the
stronger cells ahead of the front. If isolated discrete cells can
develop well ahead of the front along the instability corridor,
then a marginal tornado threat will also be possible.
..Broyles/Nauslar.. 11/22/2019
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1244
AM CST Fri Nov 22 2019
Valid 231200Z - 241200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY... Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms are
expected over a part of the Southeast States Saturday. Threat for
severe weather appears low at this time.
...Synopsis...
A progressive southern-stream shortwave trough will move through
the Southeast States accompanied by a cold front Saturday. Weak
cyclogenesis is expected over the TN Valley early in the period,
and this low is forecast to weaken as it moves northeast into the
central Appalachians. Secondary cyclogenesis is forecast across NC
and VA overnight as a strong vorticity maximum moves into the base
of the upper trough and interacts with the baroclinic zone.
...Southeast States...
Partially modified Gulf air with surface dewpoints generally in the
low to mid 60s F will advect into the Gulf Coast states Saturday.
This will result in some destabilization, but instability will
remain very marginal (MUCAPE below 500 J/kg) due to widespread
clouds and poor low to mid-level lapse rates. Scattered showers
with isolated embedded thunderstorms will likely be ongoing along
the warm conveyor along and just ahead of the cold front, and this
activity will advance east during the day. Thunderstorm coverage
will probably diminish with eastward extent due to more limited
moisture and instability. However, a separate area of thunderstorms
may develop over the coastal Carolinas late Saturday night as the
front intercepts richer low-level moisture. While vertical shear
will be more than adequate to support severe storms, the very weak
thermodynamic environment is expected to remain a limiting factor.
...MAXIMUM RISK BY HAZARD... Tornado: <2% - None Wind: <5%
- None Hail: <5% - None
..Dial.. 11/22/2019
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It appears that after his death, Albert Einstein found himself working as
the doorkeeper at the Pearly Gates. One slow day, he found that he had
time to chat with the new entrants. To the first one he asked, "What's
your IQ?" The new arrival replied, "190". They discussed Einstein's theory
of relativity for hours. When the second new arrival came, Einstein once
again inquired as to the newcomer's IQ. The answer this time came "120".
To which Einstein replied, "Tell me, how did the Cubs do this year?" and they
proceeded to talk for half an hour or so. To the final arrival, Einstein
once again posed the question, "What's your IQ?". Upon receiving the answer
"70", Einstein smiled and asked, "Got a minute to tell me about VMS 4.0?"
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