| |
LU9DCE > ALERT 01.02.20 07:04z 118 Lines 5541 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 8355_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: Storm Prediction Center 01 02
Path: HB9ON<IW2OHX<IR2UBX<DB0RES<DB0ERF<OK0NAG<OK0NBR<OK2PEN<N3HYM<WH6FQE<
N7HPX<LU9DCE
Sent: 200201/0700Z 8355@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.19
__ _ _ ___ ____ ___ ____ ____ ____ ____
( ) / )( \/ _ \( \ / __)( __) ( _ \( _ \/ ___)
/ (_/\) \/ (\__ )) D (( (__ ) _) ) _ ( ) _ (\___ \
\____/\____/(___/(____/ \___)(____) (____/(____/(____/
ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
SLACKWARE LINUX - LU9DCE@GMX.COM
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
WW 21 SEVERE TSTM FL CW 010100Z - 010800Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch
Number 21 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 800 PM EST Fri Jan
31 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of South Florida Coastal
Waters
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 800 PM
until 300 AM EST.
* Primary threats include... Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70
mph possible A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A bowing complex of storms, and possibly some additional
strong/severe storms preceding it, will continue to spread
east-northeastward this evening toward the Florida Keys and other
parts of South Florida. Wind damage is the most likely risk, but
a tornado or two cannot be ruled out.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles northwest
of Key West FL to 30 miles southeast of Miami FL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft
to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60
knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion
vector 25025.
...Guyer
WW 0021 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 21
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 ESE MTH TO
70 SSE MIA.
..KERR..02/01/20
ATTN...WFO...MFL...KEY...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 21
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
AMZ651-010740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL OUT 20 NM
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER
TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON
COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1125
PM CST Fri Jan 31 2020
Valid 011200Z - 021200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH
FLORIDA...
...SUMMARY... A few severe thunderstorms will be possible across
south Florida and the Keys. Isolated strong to damaging wind gusts
should be the main threat.
...South Florida...
Lead weak disturbance that is ejecting off the FL Atlantic Coast
at 01/05z will shunt a corridor of deep convection well offshore
by sunrise Saturday morning. Upstream, stronger short-wave trough
that is currently over TX will shift into the central Gulf States,
trailing into the western Gulf Basin by 18z. Right entrance
region of a strong 500mb speed max is forecast to translate across
the southern FL Peninsula during the afternoon. This feature is
expected to encourage deep convection over the eastern Gulf Basin
that will spread/develop east ahead of a surface front as it
sags southeast. As this feature approaches, southwesterly flow
will deepen but remain strongly sheared, certainly supportive of
organized convection. A secondary PW surge should spread northeast
in response to this approaching speed max and one or more organized
bands of thunderstorms are expected to evolve then track across south
FL. At this time it appears the main threat will be damaging winds
as the primary storm mode should be linear in nature. Latest CAMs
support this scenario with the greatest risk being between 17-21z.
..Darrow/Bentley.. 02/01/2020
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1249
AM CST Sat Feb 01 2020
Valid 021200Z - 031200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY... No severe storms are expected across the U.S. mainland
Sunday.
...DISCUSSION... An upper-level ridge will move eastward across
central U.S. on Sunday and into the eastern U.S. Sunday night. At
the surface, a large area of high pressure will be located from
the Gulf of Mexico northward into the southeastern U.S. This will
help to keep a dry airmass in place across the eastern half of the
U.S. making thunderstorm unlikely Sunday into Sunday night. In the
west, isolated lightning strikes could occur along the coasts of
northern California, Oregon and Washington as an upper-level trough
moves inland on Sunday.
..Broyles.. 02/01/2020
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
Checkuary, n.:
The thirteenth month of the year. Begins New Year's Day and
ends when a person stops absentmindedly writing the old year on his checks.
//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
Organizacion Radio Packet Argentina https://vk.com/ax25packet
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
