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LU9DCE > ALERT 04.02.19 05:23z 82 Lines 4031 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 17021_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: Storm Prediction Center 21 01
Path: HB9ON<IW0QNL<VE2PKT<N3HYM<LU9DCE
Sent: 190121/0701Z 17021@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.18
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
HELLOCODELINUX@GMAIL.COM
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SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1107
PM CST Sun Jan 20 2019
Valid 211200Z - 221200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY... Probability of lightning is less than 10% across
the country today.
...Discussion...
Intense 12hr mid-level height falls will spread across the southern
Great Basin into the southern Rockies by the end of the period. As
a result, cooling profiles will lead to steep mid-level lapse
rates across the Four-Corners region during the day as a strong
jet settles into southern AZ/NM. While absolute moisture content
will be scant from northern AZ into CO, forecast soundings suggest
weak buoyancy will develop as profiles cool/moisten. Weak convection
will likely evolve along a pronounced front as it surges across the
Four-Corners, and while an isolated lightning strike cannot be ruled
out, the probability for thunderstorms should remain less than 10%
due to cold profiles and weak buoyancy.
..Darrow/Karstens.. 01/21/2019
SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook
Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1115
PM CST Sun Jan 20 2019
Valid 221200Z - 231200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY... Only isolated weak thunderstorms are possible Tuesday
night across parts of Louisiana and southern Mississippi.
...Synopsis... Low pressure will move rapidly northeast from KS
into lower MI on Tuesday as a large upper trough develops across
the Plains. At the surface, high pressure will shift off the East
Coast allowing for minimal low-level moisture return over the Gulf
of Mexico. Lower 60s F dewpoints will move inland as far north as
southern MS Tuesday night ahead of a cold front which will support
an increasing threat of precipitation. Instability will be very
weak, and mostly offshore, but a few weak storms may develop over
LA and into southern MS overnight. With such weak instability,
severe weather is unlikely despite increasing shear.
To the north and near the low track, elevated instability will
be generally < 50 J/kg with parcels rooted above 600 mb, but very
strong lift may support a rogue lightning strike into early Tuesday
morning across IL and IN.
...MAXIMUM RISK BY HAZARD... Tornado: <2% - None Wind: <5%
- None Hail: <5% - None
..Jewell.. 01/21/2019
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1156
PM CST Sun Jan 20 2019
Valid 231200Z - 241200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY... A few thunderstorms are possible across parts of
the Southeast, but severe weather is not expected.
...Synopsis and Discussion... Beneath strong southwest flow aloft,
a cold front will slowly move east across MS, AL, GA, and northern
FL on Wednesday, and into the Carolinas overnight. Lower 60s F
dewpoints will eventually spread northward ahead of this front, with
850 mb flow increasing to 50-60 kt overnight. Scattered thunderstorms
are expected from the FL Panhandle into southern GA, but forecast
soundings show a relatively cool/stable boundary layer, suggesting
little threat of severe wind gusts making it to the surface.
Elsewhere, an large-scale upper trough will continue to amplify
across the Plains and Rockies, reinforcing cool and stable
conditions.
..Jewell.. 01/21/2019
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Break into jail and claim police brutality.
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