| |
LU9DCE > ALERT 22.02.20 07:05z 54 Lines 2630 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 9901_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: Storm Prediction Center 22 02
Path: HB9ON<IW2OHX<IR2UBX<DB0RES<DB0ERF<OK0NAG<OK0NBR<OK2PEN<N3HYM<LU3DVN<
LU9DCE
Sent: 200222/0700Z 9901@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.19
__ _ _ ___ ____ ___ ____ ____ ____ ____
( ) / )( \/ _ \( \ / __)( __) ( _ \( _ \/ ___)
/ (_/\) \/ (\__ )) D (( (__ ) _) ) _ ( ) _ (\___ \
\____/\____/(___/(____/ \___)(____) (____/(____/(____/
ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
GNU / LINUX - LU9DCE@GMX.COM
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1102
PM CST Fri Feb 21 2020
Valid 221200Z - 231200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms are possible across parts of
the southwestern United States. Very small hail is possible from
southern California into the lower Colorado Valley.
...Discussion for the Southwest... An upper low will move east
across southern CA during the day, with an 80+ kt midlevel speed
max into central AZ by 00Z. North of the speed max, cooling aloft
and lift will be maximized, with low pressure and a wind shift
crossing the lower CO Valley by 21Z.
Ahead of the upper low, an extensive moist plume will nose
into AZ during the day, producing widespread precipitation, with
upslope translating east along the Rim. By afternoon, some embedded
thunderstorms are possible over central and southern AZ as minimal
instability develops. Deep-layer shear will be strong, and may favor
a strong storm along the Rim where lift will be maximized. However,
models differ on how much instability will be present.
The greatest instability will likely develop north of the midlevel
temperature gradient, and downstream of a pocket of steep low-level
lapse rates which will develop over southern CA and into the lower
CO Valley. The result is likely to be a few strong storms over
far southern NV and into northwest AZ. Here, small hail appears
likely with any cellular activity given cold temperatures aloft,
though severe hail is not anticipated. A few strong wind gusts are
also possible.
Elsewhere, westerly winds into the coastal range of southern CA
beneath cold temperatures aloft may allow for small cells capable
of graupel/very small hail after 18Z.
..Jewell/Cook.. 02/22/2020
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
Better hope the life-inspector doesn't come around while you have your life
in such a mess.
//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
Organizacion Radio Packet Argentina https://vk.com/ax25packet
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
