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LW3DBH > ALERT 26.04.20 02:22z 143 Lines 6954 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
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Subj: Storm Prediction Center 25 04
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Sent: 200426/0210Z @:LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA #:62936 [MORENO] FBB7.00i $:62936_LW
From: LW3DBH@LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA
To : ALERT@WW
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WW 148 TORNADO GA NC SC TN 252210Z - 260200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 148
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 610 PM EDT Sat Apr 25 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of Far northern Georgia Far southwest
North Carolina Northwest South Carolina Eastern Tennessee
* Effective this Saturday evening from 610 PM until 1000 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered
large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible Isolated
damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
SUMMARY...Multiple, low-topped supercells will continue to pose a
risk for a couple tornadoes and severe hail, before weakening later
this evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute
miles north and south of a line from 35 miles west southwest of
Crossville TN to 15 miles northeast of Greenville SC. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable
for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the
watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and
possible warnings.
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface
and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts
to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm
motion vector 25040.
...Grams
WW 0148 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 148
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW AHN TO
55 SSE TYS TO 30 NE CHA TO 45 NE CSV AND 40 SSE SPA TO 5 S GSP TO
25 N SPA.
..GOSS..04/26/20
ATTN...WFO...FFC...GSP...MRX...OHX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 148
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
SCC021-083-087-260240-
SC . SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE SPARTANBURG UNION
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER
TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON
COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
MD 0477 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 148... FOR NORTHWESTERN SOUTH
CAROLINA INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
Mesoscale Discussion 0477 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0758 PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2020
Areas affected...northwestern South Carolina into south-central
North Carolina
Concerning...Tornado Watch 148...
Valid 260058Z - 260230Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 148 continues.
SUMMARY...Local/brief tornado risk may spread out of WW 148 into
south-central North Carolina.
DISCUSSION...While severe risk has diminished across most of Tornado
Watch 148, a small corridor exists over northwestern South Carolina
near/to the cool side of the wedge front where a few supercell
storms are ongoing. While likely to be slightly elevated just to
the cool side of the front, the storms continue to exhibit weak
low-level rotation. Given the presence of the low-level boundary
lying west-to-east across this area, a brief tornado spin-up remains
a possibility over the next hour or so.
While this slightly-more-favorable zone of minimal CAPE but ample
shear extends east of the watch into south-central North Carolina,
a new Tornado Watch is not expected, as the already marginal
thermodynamic environment diurnally worsens.
..Goss.. 04/26/2020
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...RAH...CAE...GSP...
LAT...LON 34708327 35418265 35788055 35287986 34607999 34328199
34708327
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0750
PM CDT Sat Apr 25 2020
Valid 260100Z - 261200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS...
...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms remain possible
tonight across portions of the southern Appalachians to coastal
North Carolina.
...Southeast...
Earlier thunderstorm activity that developed over northern GA has
progressed east-northeast along slowly retreating warm front into
northwest SC. Several long-lived supercells extend from Oconee
to Cherokee County SC and appear to be along/just north of the
actual wind shift. Air mass downstream is recovering slowly across
southwestern NC and the current speed/movement of this convection
suggests it could travel another 70-80 mi before storms encounter
a more stable boundary layer. Will maintain a narrow corridor of
5% tornado probabilities to account for these supercells tracking
along/near the warm front where surface-based buoyancy is currently
maximized.
Late tonight, air mass is expected to recover along the NC Coast
as surface dew points rise through the 60s. There is some concern
that sustained low-level warm advection may contribute to a few
supercells near, or just inland. Given the uncertainty, and limited
area, will not raise tornado/wind probabilities for this scenario.
..Darrow.. 04/26/2020
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
curtation, n.:
The enforced compression of a string in the fixed-length field
environment.
The problem of fitting extremely variable-length strings such as names,
addresses, and item descriptions into fixed-length records is no trivial
matter. Neglect of the subtle art of curtation has probably alienated more
people than any other aspect of data processing. You order Mozart's "Don
Giovanni" from your record club, and they invoice you $24.95 for MOZ DONG.
The witless mapping of the sublime onto the ridiculous! Equally puzzling is
the curtation that produces the same eight characters, THE BEST, whether you
order "The Best of Wagner", "The Best of Schubert", or "The Best of the Turds".
Similarly, wine lovers buying from computerized wineries twirl their glasses,
check their delivery notes, and inform their friends, "A rather innocent,
possibly overtruncated CAB SAUV 69 TAL." The squeezing of fruit into 10
columns has yielded such memorable obscenities as COX OR PIP. The examples
cited are real, and the curtational methodology which produced them is still
with us.
MOZ DONG n.
Curtation of Don Giovanni by Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart and Lorenzo da
Ponte, as performed by the computerized billing ensemble of the Internat'l
Preview Society, Great Neck (sic), N.Y.
-- Stan Kelly-Bootle, "The Devil's DP Dictionary"
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