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LU9DCE > ALERT 08.09.20 18:03z 50 Lines 2526 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 25031_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 08 09
Path: HB9ON<IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<IR1UAW<I0OJJ<LU4ECL<VK2RZ<W0ARP<KF5JRV<VA7RBP<
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Sent: 200908/1800Z 25031@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.20
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
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SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0745
AM CDT Tue Sep 08 2020
Valid 081300Z - 091200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS
OF MISSOURI/ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO/WEST TEXAS...
...SUMMARY... A few strong to locally severe thunderstorms
could occur this afternoon and early evening across parts of
Missouri/Illinois and/or southeast New Mexico and West Texas.
...Missouri/Illinois... Mid-level height rises are generally
expected over the region, and the front across central portions of
Missouri and Illinois will not be overly southeastward-progressive
through the afternoon/early evening. Strong heating south of the
front and sufficient convergence near it should allow for widely
scattered thunderstorm development along the front this afternoon,
although much of the convection will otherwise be focused on the
cool side of the boundary. While low/mid-tropospheric winds and
deep-layer shear will be weak (30 kt or less), a few strong/briefly
severe thunderstorms could occur, primarily with any convective
development that originates on the warm/moderately unstable side
of the boundary this afternoon.
...Eastern New Mexico/west Texas... A strong cold front will
continue to make a steady southeastward progression across the
region through this afternoon and evening. Although vertical
shear near/ahead of the front will be weak, moderate instability
may allow for a few strong or locally severe thunderstorms with
expected near-frontal development during mid/late afternoon through
early evening. Steepening mid-level lapse rates and strengthening
effective shear in the post-frontal environment could also support
some elevated thunderstorms with hail potential.
..Guyer/Mosier.. 09/08/2020
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No hace falta defender siempre la misma opinion porque nadie puede impedir
volverse mas sabio.
-- Konrad Adenauer.
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