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LU9DCE > ALERT 08.10.20 19:14z 83 Lines 3227 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 33057_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 8 10
Path: HB9ON<IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<DB0RES<ON0AR<VE2PKT<GB7YEW<N7HPX<LU9DCE
Sent: 201008/1900Z 33057@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM BPQ6.0.20
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
WIN10 - CASTILLOEDUARDO@OUTLOOK.COM.AR
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
Storm Prediction Center
en-us
None
Thu, 08 Oct 2020 14:05:01 +0000
Thu, 08 Oct 2020 14:05:01 +0000
general
1
No watches are valid as of Thu Oct8 14:05:01 UTC 2020.
Thu, 08 Oct 2020 14:04:27 +0000
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Thu Oct8 14:05:01 UTC 2020.
Thu, 08 Oct 2020 14:04:19 +0000
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0745 AM CDT Thu Oct 08 2020
Valid 081300Z - 091200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF
NEAR-COASTAL SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...
...SUMMARY...
A tornado is possible over near-coastal southern Louisiana late
overnight.
...Synopsis...
In mid/upper levels, the northern-stream pattern is becoming more
zonal following the departure of a strong shortwave trough from New
England across the Canadian Maritimes.Meanwhile, a vorticity max
-- evident in moisture-channel imagery over west-central OK -- is
forecast to move slowly northeastward to the OK/KS/MO border area by
the end of the period, with trough southwestward across west-
central/southwest TX.As that occurs, Hurricane Delta is forecast
by NHC to turn northward across the western Gulf this period, toward
a mid-period day-2 landfall along the southwestern LA coastline.
See latest NHC advisories for specific track/intensity forecasts and
tropical watches and warnings related to Delta.
...Southern LA...
A tornado may occur the last few hours of the period from
outer-fringe convection associated with Hurricane Delta.This is a
marginal and conditional outlook predicated on:
1.Latest NHC forecasts of track, speed and expansion of the
supportive wind fields, juxtaposed with
2.Most probable outer reach of favorable, discrete to semi-
discrete convective modes that could become supercellular amidst
enlarging hodographs, and
3.Favorable inland migration of a maritime/tropical boundary layer
that, based on modified forecast soundings from several models,
would contain theta-e large enough to offset warm temperatures aloft
and yield surface-based buoyant parcels.
Such conditions are expected to spread well inland and include the
diurnal-destabilization period Friday/day-2, but marginally may
spread as far north as roughly I-10 by the 12Z ending time of this
outlook period.Low-level shear and buoyancy each are expected to
diminish with inland extent overnight, even as they gradually
increase in an absolute sense at any given spot with Delta's
approach.
..Edwards/Goss.. 10/08/2020
Read more
Thu, 08 Oct 2020 12:54:07 +0000
+---------------------- POWERSHELL WINDOWS 10 ISE -----------------------+
Children aren't happy without something to ignore,
And that's what parents were created for.
-- Ogden Nash
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