| |
LU9DCE > ALERT 31.10.20 03:26z 175 Lines 6595 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 38956_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 30 10
Path: HB9ON<IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<IQ5KG<IR1UAW<IW2OHX<IQ2LB<IR2UFV<N3HYM<KE0GB<
W4GON<LU4DRH<LU9DCE
Sent: 201031/0301Z 38956@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM BPQ6.0.20
__ _ _ ___ ____ ___ ____ ____ ____ ____
( ) / )( \/ _ \( \ / __)( __) ( _ \( _ \/ ___)
/ (_/\) \/ (\__ )) D (( (__ ) _) ) _ ( ) _ (\___ \
\____/\____/(___/(____/ \___)(____) (____/(____/(____/
ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
WIN10 - CASTILLOEDUARDO@OUTLOOK.COM.AR
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
Storm Prediction Center
en-us
None
Fri, 30 Oct 2020 07:43:02 +0000
Fri, 30 Oct 2020 07:43:02 +0000
general
1
No watches are valid as of Fri Oct 30 07:43:02 UTC 2020.
Fri, 30 Oct 2020 07:42:20 +0000
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Fri Oct 30 07:43:02 UTC 2020.
Fri, 30 Oct 2020 07:42:26 +0000
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1213 AM CDT Fri Oct 30 2020
Valid 301200Z - 311200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Only a few weak thunderstorms are possible over southern Florida
today.
...South Florida...
Strong short-wave trough, currently located over the southern
Appalachians, will eject off the Atlantic Coast early in the day1
period. As this feature shifts east, trailing cold front will settle
into south FL then slow as it moves across the FL Straits. This
boundary will serve as the focus for potential convective
development through the period, especially during the afternoon when
boundary-layer heating will maximize buoyancy within a high-PW air
mass (1.5-2"). Forecast soundings exhibit substantial SBCAPE ahead
of the front with 2000-3000 J/kg expected within a weakly sheared
environment. For these reasons, isolated-scattered thunderstorms
should be noted across the south FL warm sector later today.
..Darrow/Jirak.. 10/30/2020
Read more
Fri, 30 Oct 2020 05:20:58 +0000
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1212 AM CDT Fri Oct 30 2020
Valid 311200Z - 011200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United
States on Saturday.
...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough, initially over the western Dakotas Saturday
morning, will amplify as it moves east to the upper Great Lakes by
daybreak Sunday.In the low levels, relatively dry/stable
conditions will encompass much of the Lower 48 with tranquil weather
conditions prevailing.The exception for no thunderstorm activity
will be the FL Everglades, where a few weak thunderstorms are
possible during the afternoon.
..Smith.. 10/30/2020
Read more
Fri, 30 Oct 2020 05:26:04 +0000
Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0125 AM CDT Fri Oct 30 2020
Valid 011200Z - 021200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast across the contiguous United
States on Sunday.
...Synopsis...
A powerful mid- to upper-level trough will move from the Great Lakes
into the Northeast on Sunday into Sunday night.In the low levels,
a cold front will concurrently sweep east across the lower Great
Lakes and into the western Atlantic.Although an isolated lightning
flash cannot be ruled out over the lower Great Lakes in association
with shallow convection over lakes, it appears the only thunderstorm
activity will occur over the Everglades and coastal south FL during
the afternoon.
..Smith.. 10/30/2020
Read more
Fri, 30 Oct 2020 06:29:27 +0000
Day 4-8 Outlook
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0237 AM CDT Fri Oct 30 2020
Valid 021200Z - 071200Z
...DISCUSSION...
There is high confidence of a quiescent period for severe
thunderstorms during the extended period.A large-scale mid-level
trough will exit the East Coast on Monday (day 4) with ridging
occurring over the central U.S. on Tuesday (day 5).Models are in
good agreement showing a quasi-zonal flow regime over the contiguous
United States on Wednesday (day 6) followed by increased model
spread.The operational ECMWF has been consistent the last few
model runs in showing the development of a large-scale trough over
the West Coast on Friday (day 8).
Read more
Fri, 30 Oct 2020 07:42:50 +0000
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0139 AM CDT Fri Oct 30 2020
Valid 301200Z - 311200Z
...Synopsis...
A shortwave trough evident this morning in water vapor imagery off
the southern British Columbia coast is forecast to move
southeastward across the Pacific Northwest and Northern Rockies
today.In response at the surface, a deepening low pressure system
will move eastward across Alberta and Saskatchewan, with an
attendant cold front pushing southeastward across the northern
Intermountain West.
...Northeastern California, Northern Nevada, Southeastern Oregon,
Southern Idaho, and Southwestern Montana...
Enhanced low-level flow associated with the aforementioned shortwave
trough will move over the region today.As the boundary layer
deepens during the afternoon, downward vertical mixing of higher
momentum air will lead to sustained westerly surface winds over 15
mph with gusts over 20 mph.Given the very dry airmass in place
across the region, afternoon RH values will fall below 15%.The
combination of strong winds, low RH, and lack of recent rainfall
will elevate fire weather concerns across the region today.
..Jirak.. 10/30/2020
Read more
Fri, 30 Oct 2020 06:41:13 +0000
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0140 AM CDT Fri Oct 30 2020
Valid 311200Z - 011200Z
...Synopsis...
An upper-level shortwave trough is forecast to move southeastward
across the northern Plains toward the Great Lakes Region on
Saturday.In the wake of this shortwave trough, broad northwesterly
flow aloft will be in place over the Rockies.This upper-level
pattern will favor surface high pressure over the Intermountain West
and a surface pressure trough along the West Coast.
...Southern California...
The aforementioned surface pattern will favor an increasing pressure
gradient across southern California into late Saturday night and
Sunday morning.This will support strengthening offshore winds of
15-20 mph (sustained) in favored terrain locations.Given that this
uptick in offshore winds is following a hot, dry period, fire
weather conditions will be elevated for portions of the Transverse
and Peninsular Ranges.
..Jirak.. 10/30/2020
Read more
Fri, 30 Oct 2020 06:44:03 +0000
+---------------------- POWERSHELL WINDOWS 10 ISE -----------------------+
Polymer physicists are into chains.
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
