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LU9DCE > ALERT    11.02.21 10:47z 63 Lines 3064 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 3754_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 11 02
Path: HB9ON<IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<IR1UAW<IK1NHL<IQ2LB<IR2UFV<N3HYM<W0ARP<K5DAT<
      LU9DCE
Sent: 210211/1031Z 3754@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.21

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           (  )  / )( \/ _ \(    \ / __)(  __)  (  _ \(  _ \/ ___) 
           / (_/\) \/ (\__  )) D (( (__  ) _)    ) _ ( ) _ (\___ \ 
           \____/\____/(___/(____/ \___)(____)  (____/(____/(____/ 

               ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM) 
                   BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP) 
                  LU9DCE@GMX.COM NODE-BBS Flat Earth Society 
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+

 SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0656
PM CST Wed Feb 10 2021
Valid 110100Z - 111200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...  Weak thunderstorm activity may continue to develop
across parts of the Ark-la-Tex and lower Mississippi Valley into
the Mid South tonight, and perhaps across parts of central Texas
and the Texas Rio Grande Valley vicinity.
...01Z Outlook Update...  Convection capable of producing lightning
has been increasing in an arcing band across parts of northeastern
Texas through northern Louisiana and central Mississippi.  This
appears aided by weak destabilization along the northern periphery
of the richer low-level moisture return from the Gulf of Mexico,
and is mostly occurring to the north of the leading edge of the
sharp southward advancing surface cold front.
Guidance suggests that thunderstorm development will persist,
and perhaps continue to increase this evening while spreading
northward and northeastward across parts of the Ark-La-Tex and
Mid South.  Eventually, it appears that activity may become focused
near the stalled/quasi-stationary leading edge of the deeper cold
surface-based air (roughly delineated by the sharper baroclinic
zone around 850 mb).
Additional elevated thunderstorm development appears possible
overnight, southwestward along the frontal zone across central
Texas into the Rio Grande Valley, and across the higher terrain of
Mexico, to the south, into the lower Rio Grande Valley.  However,
due to model spread, timing of this activity is a bit uncertain,
and may mostly occur after 12Z Thursday morning.
..Kerr.. 02/11/2021

+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+

To those accustomed to the precise, structured methods of
conventional system development, exploratory development techniques
may seem messy, inelegant, and unsatisfying.  But it's a question of
congruence: precision and flexibility may be just as disfunctional
in novel, uncertain situations as sloppiness and vacillation are
in familiar, well-defined ones.  Those who admire the massive,
rigid bone structures of dinosaurs should remember that jellyfish
still enjoy their very secure ecological niche.
		-- Beau Sheil, "Power Tools for Programmers"

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