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LU9DCE > ALERT 15.02.21 10:44z 75 Lines 3354 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 4045_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 15 02
Path: HB9ON<IW2OHX<IQ2LB<IR2UFV<N3HYM<LU3DVN<LU9DCE
Sent: 210215/1030Z 4045@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.21
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
LU9DCE@GMX.COM NODE-BBS Flat Earth Society
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MD 0082 CONCERNING HEAVY SNOW FOR PORTIONS OF TEXAS HILL COUNTRY
INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0082 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0704 PM CST Sun Feb 14 2021
Areas affected...Portions of Texas Hill Country into Southeast Texas
Concerning...Heavy snow
Valid 150104Z - 150700Z
SUMMARY...Pockets of moderate to heavy snow are possible in parts
of the DFW metro and eastward in the short term. The next area of
heavy snow to develop will likely be within the Edwards Plateau
perhaps by 8-10 PM CST. This heavy snow will develop eastward into
Southeast Texas through the evening and overnight.
DISCUSSION...Current water vapor imagery shows another area of
mid-level ascent moving through the Big Bend region. This ascent
is forecast to pivot through the base of the broad upper-level
trough as it moves east. MRMS radar imagery shows heavier bands
of precipitation developing in Mexico that should begin to move
into the Edwards Plateau within the next 1-3 hours. 1 inch per
hour snowfall rates are possible as the favorable lift within the
dendritic growth layer moves through the region.
A band of moderate to heavy snow now moving east through the DFW
metro area will continue to bring around 1 inch per hour rates.
However, this is expected to decrease with time as the more favorable
synoptic ascent shifts to the south.
..Wendt.. 02/15/2021
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...EWX...SJT...
LAT...LON 29310099 29760093 30140079 30769962 31429820 31989708
32019670 31799599 31089549 30539554 29999663 29099846 28729991
28850060 29190093 29310099
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0644
PM CST Sun Feb 14 2021
Valid 150100Z - 151200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY... Severe storms are no longer expected through Monday
morning.
...Southeast... As the lead wave continues to move northeast
across the Mid Atlantic, lift will continue to decrease over
FL. The 00Z soundings show a pronounced subsidence inversion in
the midlevels. Therefore, while still moist and unstable over the
peninsula, storms should remain concentrated over the Atlantic
along the cold front.
Elsewhere, elevated thunderstorms are expected to increase in
coverage from southeast TX into the lower MS Valley tonight, as
large-scale lift increases ahead of a powerful upper trough. Given
the cold air already in place at the surface, severe storms are
unlikely.
..Jewell.. 02/15/2021
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