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LU9DCE > ALERT 15.05.21 11:37z 272 Lines 10124 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 9793_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 15 05
Path: HB9ON<IW2OHX<IW0QNL<VE2PKT<PY2BIL<LU9DCE
Sent: 210515/1131Z 9793@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM BPQ6.0.21
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
CASTILLOEDUARDO@OUTLOOK.COM
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
Storm Prediction Center
en-us
None
Sat, 15 May 2021 03:46:02 +0000
Sat, 15 May 2021 03:46:02 +0000
general
1
WW 171 SEVERE TSTM KS 150030Z - 150600Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 171
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
730 PM CDT Fri May 14 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central Kansas
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 730 PM
until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Isolated significant damaging wind gusts to 75 mph possible
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A couple supercells may evolve southeast across
north-central Kansas through late evening. Otherwise, a cluster may
develop across western Kansas and spread east into central Kansas
towards midnight.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 35
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles north of Russell
KS to 20 miles west southwest of Medicine Lodge KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 169...WW 170...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
30025.
...Grams
Read more
Sat, 15 May 2021 03:13:02 +0000
WW 170 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NE 142145Z - 150400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 170
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
445 PM CDT Fri May 14 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern Colorado
Western Kansas
Far southwest Nebraska
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 445 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Initial discrete cells should develop off the Palmer
Divide region and spread east into northwest Kansas. Additional
cells may spread northeast from the Raton Mesa region into southwest
Kansas. Eventual consolidation into an organized cluster is possible
later this evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles south of Limon
CO to 40 miles north northeast of Dodge City KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 169...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
28035.
...Grams
Read more
Sat, 15 May 2021 03:12:03 +0000
WW 169 SEVERE TSTM NM OK TX 142130Z - 150400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 169
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
430 PM CDT Fri May 14 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
East-central New Mexico
Oklahoma Panhandle
Texas Panhandle
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 430 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph possible
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Initial discrete cells across east-central New Mexico
should consolidate into a modestly organized cluster with severe
wind and hail as the primary hazards.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles northeast of
Guymon OK to 50 miles west southwest of Plainview TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26030.
...Grams
Read more
Sat, 15 May 2021 03:23:03 +0000
WW 0171 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 171
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW RSL
TO 30 W SLN.
..SMITH..05/15/21
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...GID...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 171
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-033-047-053-095-097-145-151-155-159-165-185-150400-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBERBARTONCOMANCHE
EDWARDSELLSWORTHKINGMAN
KIOWA PAWNEEPRATT
RENORICE RUSH
STAFFORD
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
Sat, 15 May 2021 03:13:03 +0000
WW 0170 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 170
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW LBL TO
35 E LAA TO 35 SSE HLC.
WW 170 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 150400Z UNLESS
THE DODGE CITY WFO EXTENDS THE WATCH VIA A LOCAL
EXTENSION-IN-TIME TO 150500Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0617
..SMITH..05/15/21
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...DDC...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 170
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC025-055-057-067-069-075-081-083-093-101-119-135-171-175-
150400-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK FINNEYFORD
GRANT GRAY HAMILTON
HASKELLHODGEMANKEARNY
LANEMEADENESS
SCOTT SEWARD
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
Sat, 15 May 2021 03:12:04 +0000
WW 0169 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 169
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W LBB TO
35 WSW PVW TO 50 E BGD TO 55 WNW CSM.
WW 169 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 150400Z.
..DEAN..05/15/21
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC011-017-045-129-153-179-189-191-279-437-150400-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONGBAILEYBRISCOE
DONLEYFLOYDGRAY
HALEHALL LAMB
SWISHER
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
Sat, 15 May 2021 03:23:04 +0000
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Sat May 15 03:46:04 UTC 2021.
Sat, 15 May 2021 03:45:06 +0000
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0740 PM CDT Fri May 14 2021
Valid 150100Z - 151200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe thunderstorms will spread across portions of the
central and southern Plains this evening. Damaging winds and large
hail are the expected hazards.
...Central/Southern Plains...
High-based convection that developed east of the front range of the
Rockies, from CO into NM, has migrated downstream into a region of
increasingly moist boundary layer air mass. 00z soundings from DDC
and AMA exhibit very steep lapse rates from the surface through the
cloud-bearing layer, with modest MLCAPE in excess of 1200 J/kg. Over
the last few hours, thunderstorm clusters have expanded in areal
coverage over the TX Panhandle. If an MCS ultimately evolves over
this portion of the southern Plains then organized severe threat may
spread a bit farther downstream into portions of western OK.
Otherwise, LLJ is forecast to increase from northern OK into central
KS later this evening. This appears favorable for upscale growth in
convection along the I-70 corridor. Ultimately this activity should
begin to propagate southeast, aided by a weak short-wave trough that
will track along this path during the overnight hours.
..Darrow.. 05/15/2021
Read more
Sat, 15 May 2021 00:44:24 +0000
+------------------------- POWERSHELL WINDOWS ----------------------------+
One of the most striking differences
between a cat and a lie is that a cat
has only nine lives.
-- Mark Twain, "Pudd'nhead Wilson's
Calendar"
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