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LU9DCE > ALERT 24.05.21 16:53z 282 Lines 10094 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
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Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 24 05
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Sent: 210524/1630Z 1231@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM BPQ6.0.21
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
Copyright 2021 Eduardo A. Castillo
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
Storm Prediction Center
en-us
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Mon, 24 May 2021 03:03:02 +0000
Mon, 24 May 2021 03:03:02 +0000
general
1
WW 199 SEVERE TSTM KS NE SD 240110Z - 240600Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 199
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
810 PM CDT Sun May 23 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northwest Kansas
Central Nebraska
South Central South Dakota
* Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 810 PM
until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A line of intense thunderstorms will track northeastward
across the watch area through the evening hours, posing a risk of
locally damaging wind gusts and hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles north northeast
of Valentine NE to 75 miles south of Goodland KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 196...WW 197...WW 198...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...Hart
Read more
Mon, 24 May 2021 02:22:03 +0000
WW 198 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NM OK TX 232210Z - 240500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 198
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
510 PM CDT Sun May 23 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Colorado
Southwest Kansas
Northeast New Mexico
Western Oklahoma Panhandle
Western Texas Panhandle
* Effective this Sunday afternoon from 510 PM until Midnight CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Isolated thunderstorms are expected to form late this
afternoon along and ahead of the dryline across the watch area, and
persist through much of the evening.The strongest cells will pose
a risk of large hail and damaging wind gusts.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles southeast of
Tucumcari NM to 20 miles northeast of Lamar CO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 196...WW 197...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24025.
...Hart
Read more
Mon, 24 May 2021 02:08:08 +0000
WW 0199 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 199
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WENDT..05/24/21
ATTN...WFO...GLD...LBF...GID...UNR...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 199
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC023-039-063-065-071-109-137-153-179-181-193-199-203-240340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR GOVE
GRAHAMGREELEY LOGAN
NORTONRAWLINS SHERIDAN
SHERMANTHOMASWALLACE
WICHITA
NEC009-017-029-031-041-047-057-063-065-073-085-087-091-103-111-
113-115-117-135-145-149-171-240340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAINEBROWNCHASE
CHERRYCUSTERDAWSON
DUNDY FRONTIERFURNAS
GOSPERHAYESHITCHCOCK
HOOKERKEYA PAHALINCOLN
LOGAN LOUP MCPHERSON
PERKINSRED WILLOW ROCK
THOMAS
Read more
Mon, 24 May 2021 02:22:03 +0000
WW 0198 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 198
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WENDT..05/24/21
ATTN...WFO...PUB...DDC...ABQ...AMA...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 198
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-071-089-099-240340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACABENT LAS ANIMAS
OTERO PROWERS
KSC075-093-240340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HAMILTON KEARNY
NMC009-021-037-059-240340-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CURRY HARDING QUAY
UNION
Read more
Mon, 24 May 2021 02:08:08 +0000
WW 0197 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 197
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW MBG
TO 30 NNE Y22.
ATTN...WFO...BIS...UNR...ABR...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 197
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NDC037-041-085-240340-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GRANT HETTINGERSIOUX
SDC031-240340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CORSON
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
Mon, 24 May 2021 02:35:04 +0000
WW 0196 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE LHX TO
40 NNW ITR TO 40 W IML TO 40 ESE SNY TO 40 ENE SNY TO 50 SE AIA
TO 50 ENE CDR.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0717
..WENDT..05/24/21
ATTN...WFO...BOU...GLD...PUB...LBF...CYS...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC017-061-063-095-115-125-240240-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE KIOWAKIT CARSON
PHILLIPS SEDGWICKYUMA
KSC023-071-181-199-240240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE GREELEY SHERMAN
WALLACE
NEC005-029-031-057-075-101-135-240240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
Read more
Mon, 24 May 2021 01:04:04 +0000
MD 0719 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 199... FOR CENTRAL NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0719
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0956 PM CDT Sun May 23 2021
Areas affected...Central Nebraska...northwest Kansas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 199...
Valid 240256Z - 240500Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 199
continues.
SUMMARY...Locally strong wind gusts are possible in portions of
central Nebraska. A relatively greater threat for strong/severe wind
gusts will be in northwest Kansas and far southwest Nebraska where
instability remains slightly higher.
DISCUSSION...The line of thunderstorms has weakened in north-central
Nebraska where more limited buoyancy and increasing inhibition
exist. Strong cold-pool driven gusts will remain possible for
perhaps an hour or two more. Farther south into northwest Kansas,
greater instability is evident on objective mesoanalysis. A
relatively greater threat for strong/severe wind gusts will exist
across this region. Given storm mode, marginally severe hail will be
quite isolated if it occurs. The overall trend, though, will be for
storms to continue to decrease in intensity over the next few hours
as inhibition continues to increase to the east.
..Wendt.. 05/24/2021
ATTN...WFO...FSD...GID...LBF...UNR...GLD...PUB...
LAT...LON39920197 41770085 42970043 43420030 43519964 42789941
40529985 39430029 38980073 38520150 38520193 38700225
39920197
Read more
Mon, 24 May 2021 02:57:03 +0000
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0748 PM CDT Sun May 23 2021
Valid 240100Z - 241200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WESTERN
NEBRASKA THROUGH WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered thunderstorms capable of damaging wind, large hail, and a
couple of tornadoes will persist mainly over portions of the central
through northern Plains this evening.
...Central through northern Plains...
A line of storms with a few embedded bowing segments and supercells
extends from southwest ND through western SD into western NE. The
downstream warm sector remains moderately unstable with a corridor
of 1000-1500 J/kg MLCAPE as sampled by the 00Z North Platte RAOB. A
mid-level jet pivoting through the base of an ejecting shortwave
trough will maintain favorable vertical wind profiles for organized
storms this evening with 40-50 kt effective bulk shear. While
convective inhibition will undergo some increase as the boundary
layer begins to cool, a strengthening southerly low-level jet should
help sustain a forward propagating line of storms before activity
begins to weaken toward late evening. Damaging wind and large hail
are the primary threats, but a couple of tornadoes remain possible,
mainly through about 03Z before the surface layer begins to
decouple.
..Dial.. 05/24/2021
Read more
Mon, 24 May 2021 00:52:39 +0000
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