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LU9DCE > ALERT 25.05.21 16:37z 209 Lines 8193 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 1308_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 25 05
Path: HB9ON<IW2OHX<IW0QNL<VE2PKT<PY2BIL<LU9DCE
Sent: 210525/1631Z 1308@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM BPQ6.0.21
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
Copyright 2021 Eduardo A. Castillo
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
Storm Prediction Center
en-us
None
Tue, 25 May 2021 03:50:02 +0000
Tue, 25 May 2021 03:50:02 +0000
general
1
WW 202 SEVERE TSTM KS 250335Z - 250700Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 202
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1035 PM CDT Mon May 24 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwestern Kansas
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 1035 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A couple supercells with a history of severe to
significant/2-inch hail may persist for a few more hours over the
watch area with aid from a low-level jet, before strengthening
capping overcomes internal lift and weakens the convection.A
tornado cannot be ruled out for another hour or so, especially with
the lead storm, but the main threat is transitioning to hail, with
locally severe gusts also possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 30
statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles west southwest
of Garden City KS to 60 miles east southeast of Dodge City KS. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 201...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
29025.
...Edwards
Read more
Tue, 25 May 2021 03:39:02 +0000
WW 201 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 242050Z - 250400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 201
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
350 PM CDT Mon May 24 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Oklahoma Panhandle
West Texas
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 350 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop late this
afternoon and move east with a risk for damaging wind gusts and
large hail. Thunderstorm coverage will likely increase into the
evening hours with a continued threat for damaging winds, and also
instances of large hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles west northwest
of Guymon OK to 95 miles south of Lubbock TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 200...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27020.
...Bunting
Read more
Tue, 25 May 2021 03:42:03 +0000
WW 0202 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0202 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
Read more
Tue, 25 May 2021 03:39:06 +0000
WW 0201 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 201
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ESE LBB
TO 25 S LBB TO 10 N LBB TO 40 WSW CDS.
WW 201 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 250400Z.
..DIAL..05/25/21
ATTN...WFO...AMA...MAF...LUB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 201
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC107-125-153-191-303-345-250400-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CROSBYDICKENS FLOYD
HALLLUBBOCK MOTLEY
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
Tue, 25 May 2021 03:42:04 +0000
WW 0200 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 200
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE LAA TO
50 ENE LAA TO 40 NE DDC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0728
..WENDT..05/25/21
ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...DDC...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 200
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC055-067-075-081-093-187-250240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FINNEYGRANTHAMILTON
HASKELLKEARNYSTANTON
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
Tue, 25 May 2021 01:11:03 +0000
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Tue May 25 03:50:05 UTC 2021.
Tue, 25 May 2021 03:50:05 +0000
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0748 PM CDT Mon May 24 2021
Valid 250100Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe thunderstorms will continue through late evening
across portions of the central and southern Plains.
...Central/Southern Plains...
Right entrance region of mid-level jet may be partly responsible for
the central High Plains convection this evening. Latest model
guidance suggests 500mb speed max is translating northeast across
the Red River Valley of the North and this feature should flatten
the height field across MN during the overnight hours.Farther
south, minimal height changes are expected. Along the trailing
surface front, steep low-level lapse rate plume extends across
northern NM into southwestern portions of KS. This is enhancing a
buoyancy reservoir that currently extends across the southern High
Plains-western KS-southwestern NE where MLCAPE is in excess of 2000
J/kg. DDC sounding appears to have sampled this air mass well, but
only modest surface-6km shear is observed over southwestern KS. Even
so, several supercells have evolved across western KS and this
activity will gradually propagate east and south across the
remainder of ww200 over the next few hours. Hail, wind, and a few
tornadoes remain possible.
Scattered strong/severe thunderstorms are increasing in areal
coverage across the TX South Plains and this activity has evolved
within a weaker flow regime. As a result, multiple storm mergers
should lead to an MCS over the next few hours. This cluster would
then propagate east-southeast across northwestern TX with a threat
for hail/wind.
..Darrow.. 05/25/2021
Read more
Tue, 25 May 2021 00:52:27 +0000
+--------------------------- POWERSHELL WINDOWS ---------------------------+
Sometimes I wonder if I'm in my right
mind. Then it passes off and I'm as
intelligent as ever.
-- Samuel Beckett, "Endgame"
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