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LU9DCE > ALERT 30.05.21 16:37z 160 Lines 6046 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 1613_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 30-MAY.2021
Path: HB9ON<IW8PGT<I3XTY<I0OJJ<LU4ECL<LU9DCE
Sent: 210530/1630Z 1613@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM BPQ6.0.21
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
Copyright 2021 Eduardo A. Castillo
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
Storm Prediction Center
en-us
None
Sun, 30 May 2021 03:46:02 +0000
Sun, 30 May 2021 03:46:02 +0000
general
1
WW 224 SEVERE TSTM NM OK TX 300030Z - 300600Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 224
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
730 PM CDT Sat May 29 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast New Mexico
Oklahoma Panhandle
Texas Panhandle
* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 730 PM
until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Initially, an isolated supercell moving southeastward
between Kim and Campo, Colorado will move into the western Oklahoma
Panhandle. Other development may occur across northeast New Mexico
and/or across other parts of southeast Colorado this evening via an
upscale-growing cluster of storms.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles west southwest
of Clayton NM to 25 miles south southeast of Elkhart KS. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 223...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29020.
...Guyer
Read more
Sun, 30 May 2021 02:32:02 +0000
WW 0224 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 224
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0805
..DEAN..05/30/21
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 224
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC021-059-300340-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDINGUNION
OKC025-139-300340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CIMARRON TEXAS
TXC111-205-421-300340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DALLAMHARTLEY SHERMAN
Read more
Sun, 30 May 2021 02:32:03 +0000
WW 0223 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 223
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNW CAO
TO 25 WNW SPD TO 35 N EHA.
WW 223 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 300300Z.
..DEAN..05/30/21
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 223
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-071-300300-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACALAS ANIMAS
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
Sun, 30 May 2021 02:31:03 +0000
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Sun May 30 03:46:03 UTC 2021.
Sun, 30 May 2021 03:45:29 +0000
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0753 PM CDT Sat May 29 2021
Valid 300100Z - 301200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING
ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO...NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND
ADJACENT PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS AND THE TEXAS/OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES...
...SUMMARY...
Strong to severe thunderstorm development remains possible this
evening, east of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains into adjacent
portions of the high plains.
...01Z Outlook Update...
Seasonably warm air is largely confined to the Southwest, mainly
across the southern Great Basin and Colorado Plateau into the
southern Rockies.But, beneath warm elevated mixed-layer air to the
immediately lee of the southern Rockies, on the eastern periphery of
this air mass, daytime heating was sufficient to contribute to
moderate mixed-layer CAPE across the higher plains, where
east-southeasterly flow into lee surface troughing is maintaining a
relatively moist boundary-layer.
A high-level (around 300-250 mb) westerly jet emanating from the
subtropical Pacific is contributing to moderate to strong deep-layer
shear across and east of the southern Rockies, but westerly
deep-layer ambient mean wind fields are otherwise generally weak
(10-20 kt).This is resulting in slow storm motions off the higher
terrainand, coupled with the onset of boundary-layer cooling and a
generally cooler/more stable environment into the Great Plains,
storm intensities probably will wane before making much progress
into the Great Plains.
A perturbation emerging from weak, larger-scale mid-level troughing
progressing into California and Baja might still contribute to
increasing and consolidating convection northeast and east of the
Raton Mesa vicinity later this evening, aided by modest southerly
low-level jet strengthening.If this occurs, the environment might
still be conducive to the evolution of an organized cluster with the
risk to produce strong wind gusts before weakening overnight.
..Kerr.. 05/30/2021
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Sun, 30 May 2021 01:02:02 +0000
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