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LU9DCE > ALERT 01.06.21 16:37z 211 Lines 8091 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 1740_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 01-JUN.2021
Path: HB9ON<IW8PGT<I3XTY<I0OJJ<LU4ECL<LU9DCE
Sent: 210601/1630Z 1740@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM BPQ6.0.21
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
Copyright 2021 Eduardo A. Castillo
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
Storm Prediction Center
en-us
None
Tue, 01 Jun 2021 03:58:02 +0000
Tue, 01 Jun 2021 03:58:02 +0000
general
1
WW 231 SEVERE TSTM TX 010015Z - 010600Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 231
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
715 PM CDT Mon May 31 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
South-Central Texas
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 715 PM
until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...An intense supercell ongoing near the Rio Grande River is
likely to continue southeastward potentially for a couple more hours
this evening, with additional storm development possible across/into
the southern Edwards Plateau/Rio Grande River vicinity in areas
along/south of a boundary.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles northwest of
Del Rio TX to 95 miles east southeast of Del Rio TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
29020.
...Guyer
Read more
Tue, 01 Jun 2021 03:57:03 +0000
WW 0231 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 231
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE 6R6 TO
35 NNE DRT TO 45 S JCT.
..KERR..06/01/21
ATTN...WFO...EWX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 231
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC127-271-323-463-507-010540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DIMMITKINNEYMAVERICK
UVALDEZAVALA
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
Tue, 01 Jun 2021 03:57:04 +0000
WW 0230 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 230
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE BWD TO
25 N ACT TO 20 SSW DAL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0828
..SQUITIERI..05/31/21
ATTN...WFO...FWD...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 230
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC027-099-139-145-217-281-293-309-331-349-395-010040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELLCORYELL ELLIS
FALLS HILL LAMPASAS
LIMESTONEMCLENNANMILAM
NAVARROROBERTSON
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
Tue, 01 Jun 2021 00:00:08 +0000
WW 0229 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 229
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E ROW TO
15 WNW INK TO 30 SE SJT.
..KERR..05/31/21
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...SJT...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 229
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC005-015-025-027-010040-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAVESEDDY LEA
LINCOLN
TXC103-105-109-135-235-243-371-383-389-413-435-443-461-475-
010040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRANE CROCKETTCULBERSON
ECTOR IRIONJEFF DAVIS
PECOS REAGANREEVES
SCHLEICHERSUTTONTERRELL
UPTON WARD
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
Read more
Tue, 01 Jun 2021 00:00:09 +0000
MD 0831 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 231... FOR THE RIO GRANDE RIVER VICINITY OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0831
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1007 PM CDT Mon May 31 2021
Areas affected...The Rio Grande River vicinity of south central
Texas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 231...
Valid 010307Z - 010430Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 231
continues.
SUMMARY...An organizing cluster of thunderstorms may pose increasing
risk for strong surface gusts across the Rio Grande River vicinity
between Del Rio and Laredo, into adjacent portions of southern Texas
through 11 PM-1 AM CDT.Trends are being monitored for the
possibility of an additional severe weather watch to the south of
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 231.
DISCUSSION...The northern (now southwest of Del Rio, TX) of a pair
of southeastward propagating supercells appears to be undergoing
upscale growth, with convection beginning to increase along the
leading edge of strong convective outflow to the south of the
mid-level cyclonic circulation center.A moist boundary layer
(including surface dew points just above 70F) near the Rio Grande
River, into the higher terrain west of the river, remains
characterized by mixed-layer CAPE in excess of 2000 J/kg, with CAPE
perhaps as large as 1500 J/kg into areas just southwest of San
Antonio and west of Brownsville.25-30 kt southeasterly inflow of
this air mass may support considerable further upscale growth during
the next couple of hours.
Based on evening soundings, lower/mid-levels may be unsaturated
enough to allow for sufficient cold pool strengthening to support
increasing potential for strong to severe winds along an
accelerating gust front.If this occurs, areas across and east of
the Rio Grande River, particularly near and east through south of
Eagle Pass, will be increasingly impacted through 04-06Z.
..Kerr.. 06/01/2021
ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...
LAT...LON29340052 29269978 28529910 27379957 27360021 27840101
28350144 28570112 29340052
Read more
Tue, 01 Jun 2021 03:08:02 +0000
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0759 PM CDT Mon May 31 2021
Valid 010100Z - 011200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST TX...
...SUMMARY...
A threat for very large hail, locally damaging winds, and possibly a
tornado will be focused across parts of southwest Texas for much of
this evening, with some threat potentially extending into
south-central Texas overnight.
...Southwest into Central TX...
Ongoing thunderstorms northwest of Del Rio, TX may potentially grow
upscale into a cluster that spreads southeastward later tonight.
Moderate-to-strong instability and sufficient deep-layer shear (as
noted in 00Z DRT sounding) will continue to support a threat of
supercells for a time this evening, with a threat of very large
hail, locally damaging wind, and perhaps a tornado. The extent of
upscale growth remains somewhat uncertain later tonight, but there
is some potential for a forward-propagating MCS to spread
southeastward into parts of south-central TX overnight, posing some
threat of damaging wind gusts and isolated hail. The Slight and
Marginal Risk areas have been expanded slightly eastward to account
for any potential threat later tonight.
..Dean.. 06/01/2021
Read more
Tue, 01 Jun 2021 01:03:40 +0000
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