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LU9DCE > ALERT 13.06.21 16:37z 203 Lines 8245 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 652_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 13-JUN.2021
Path: HB9ON<IW2OHX<IW0QNL<VE2PKT<N3HYM<VE3CGR<LU9DCE
Sent: 210613/1630Z 652@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM BPQ6.0.21
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
Copyright 2021 Eduardo A. Castillo
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
Storm Prediction Center
en-us
None
Sun, 13 Jun 2021 03:31:01 +0000
Sun, 13 Jun 2021 03:31:01 +0000
general
1
WW 263 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 130240Z - 130800Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 263
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
940 PM CDT Sat Jun 12 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Oklahoma Panhandle
Texas Panhandle
* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 940 PM
until 300 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Storms moving off the higher terrain will pose a risk for
damaging wind and large hail as they continue east through the
Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles this evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles northwest of
Guymon OK to 35 miles south southwest of Plainview TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 262...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
29035.
...Dial
Read more
Sun, 13 Jun 2021 02:40:02 +0000
WW 262 SEVERE TSTM CO NM 122045Z - 130400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 262
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
245 PM MDT Sat Jun 12 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Colorado
Eastern New Mexico
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 245 PM until
1000 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forecast to develop and intensify this
afternoon and move from west to east through the evening.Some of
the stronger storms will be capable of a risk for large to very
large hail and severe gusts.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles southeast of
Corona NM to 40 miles east northeast of Trinidad CO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
30020.
...Smith/Grams
Read more
Sun, 13 Jun 2021 01:19:04 +0000
WW 0263 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0263 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
Read more
Sun, 13 Jun 2021 02:40:04 +0000
WW 0262 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 262
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 262
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-071-130240-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACALAS ANIMAS
NMC005-007-009-011-019-021-027-033-037-041-047-057-059-130240-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAVESCOLFAXCURRY
DE BACAGUADALUPEHARDING
LINCOLNMORA QUAY
ROOSEVELTSAN MIGUEL TORRANCE
UNION
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
Sun, 13 Jun 2021 01:19:04 +0000
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Sun Jun 13 03:31:02 UTC 2021.
Sun, 13 Jun 2021 03:30:30 +0000
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0759 PM CDT Sat Jun 12 2021
Valid 130100Z - 131200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
Isolated significant severe wind and hail are possible this evening
across parts of the southern High Plains. Marginally severe wind
gusts will also be possible in parts of the lower Ohio Valley and
Southeast.
...Southern High Plains...
An upper-level ridge is located from the southern Rockies into the
central Plains. Beneath the ridge, a moist airmass is in place
across much of the southern High Plains. A strong west-to-east
gradient of low-level moisture is located across eastern New Mexico
and west Texas. Surface dewpoints along this gradient are mostly in
the 60s F, with the RAP analyzing MLCAPE generally in the 3500 to
4500 J/Kg range. Two clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms are
ongoing. The first is in southeast Colorado and the second is in
northeast New Mexico. These clusters are expected to move
east-southeastward along the corridor of moderate to strong
instability this evening.
Forecast soundings at 03Z this evening across far northeast New
Mexico into the western Texas Panhandle have directional shear in
the low-levels with west-northwesterly mid-level flow. This is
contributing to 0-6 km shear in the 30 to 35 kt range. The moderate
deep-layer shear combined with mid-level lapse rates near 8.0 C/km
should be favorable for supercells with large hail. The more
dominant supercells may be able to produced hailstones greater than
2 inches in diameter. As low-level flow strengthens this evening and
the two clusters move east-southeastward, cold pool development will
be possible. Wind damage will be likely along the leading edge of
any line segment that can become organized. Wind gusts over 65 knots
will be possible.
...Lower Ohio Valley...
The latest water vapor imagery shows a shortwave ridge located over
the lower Great Lakes. A cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms
is ongoing just to the west of the shortwave ridge from
south-central Illinois into north-central Indiana. The storms are
located on the northeastern end of a corridor of moderate
instability. The RAP is estimating MLCAPE across south-central
Illinois and western Indiana in the 2500 to 3500 J/kg range. This
combined with steep low-level lapse rates will be sufficient for
marginally severe wind gusts with the stronger multicells early this
evening.
...Southeast...
A very moist airmass is in place across much of the southeastern
United States. Scattered thunderstorms are ongoing in this moist
airmass, mainly across west-central Alabama and eastern Georgia. In
addition to surface dewpoints in the lower to mid 70s F, the RAP is
estimating MLCAPE from 2500 to 3500 J/kg. This combined with steep
low-level lapse rates will be sufficient for marginally severe wind
gusts for another hour or two mainly in areas where convection is
already ongoing.
..Broyles.. 06/13/2021
Read more
Sun, 13 Jun 2021 01:07:56 +0000
+--------------------------- POWERSHELL WINDOWS ---------------------------+
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