| |
LU9DCE > ALERT 26.06.21 16:40z 481 Lines 18602 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 1239_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 26-JUN.21
Path: HB9ON<IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<DK0WUE<PE1RRR<KA1VSC<LU9DCE
Sent: 210626/1630Z 1239@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM BPQ6.0.21
__ _ _ ___ ____ ___ ____ ____ ____ ____
( ) / )( \/ _ \( \ / __)( __) ( _ \( _ \/ ___)
/ (_/\) \/ (\__ )) D (( (__ ) _) ) _ ( ) _ (\___ \
\____/\____/(___/(____/ \___)(____) (____/(____/(____/
ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
Copyright 2021 Eduardo A. Castillo
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
Storm Prediction Center
en-us
None
Sat, 26 Jun 2021 03:56:01 +0000
Sat, 26 Jun 2021 03:56:01 +0000
general
1
WW 319 SEVERE TSTM IL IN 252345Z - 260400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 319
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
745 PM EDT Fri Jun 25 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast Illinois
Northwest Indiana
* Effective this Friday night from 745 PM until Midnight EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A few cells may develop into a cluster near the
Illinois-Indiana border before spreading towards north-central
Indiana through late evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles north of
Danville IL to 40 miles southeast of South Bend IN. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 314...WW 315...WW
316...WW 317...WW 318...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25025.
...Grams
Read more
Sat, 26 Jun 2021 03:43:04 +0000
WW 318 SEVERE TSTM OK 252225Z - 260500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 318
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
525 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western to north-central Oklahoma
* Effective this Friday afternoon from 525 PM until Midnight CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Multiple, slow-moving clusters should eventually
consolidate into a broader QLCS this evening and spread
east-northeast across western to north-central Oklahoma.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles northeast of
Alva OK to 5 miles west southwest of Altus OK. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 314...WW 315...WW
316...WW 317...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
25025.
...Grams
Read more
Sat, 26 Jun 2021 03:55:04 +0000
WW 317 SEVERE TSTM IL MO 252210Z - 260400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 317
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
510 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central Illinois
Central and northeast Missouri
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 510 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Multiple clusters should develop and spread east-northeast
from central Missouri through central Illinois this evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles west southwest
of Columbia MO to 40 miles northeast of Champaign IL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 314...WW 315...WW 316...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
25030.
...Grams
Read more
Sat, 26 Jun 2021 03:41:03 +0000
WW 315 SEVERE TSTM CO KS OK TX 251930Z - 260300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 315
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
230 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Colorado
Southwest Kansas
Northwest Oklahoma
Northwest Texas
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 230 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Multiple corridors of severe thunderstorm development are
expected through late afternoon/early evening. Moderate to strong
instability and strengthening deep-layer winds will support some
supercells and sustained multicells, with storms eventually merging
into clusters by early evening. Damaging winds and large hail are
the primary risks.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 105
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles north of Garden
City KS to 15 miles southeast of Lubbock TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 314...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
25020.
...Guyer
Read more
Sat, 26 Jun 2021 00:40:04 +0000
WW 314 SEVERE TSTM KS MO 251840Z - 260200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 314
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
140 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
South-central/Eastern Kansas
Western Missouri
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 140 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Clusters of storms will continue to develop this afternoon
along/south of a modifying boundary that extends from
south-central/eastern Kansas into western Missouri. Some supercells
and sustained multicells can be expected, with storms likely to
become more numerous by early evening. Damaging winds and large hail
are the primary risks, although there is a possibility that some
tornado risk could materialize later this afternoon/early evening
particularly for storms interacting with the remnant boundaries.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles west southwest
of Hutchinson KS to 25 miles east of Knob Noster MO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
26025.
...Guyer
Read more
Sat, 26 Jun 2021 00:36:04 +0000
WW 0319 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 319
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 W FWA TO
35 SSE VPZ TO 45 NW LAF.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1105.
..MARSH..06/26/21
ATTN...WFO...LOT...IND...IWX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 319
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC091-260440-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KANKAKEE
INC039-049-073-085-089-091-099-111-127-131-141-149-260440-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ELKHARTFULTONJASPER
KOSCIUSKOLAKE LA PORTE
MARSHALL NEWTONPORTER
PULASKIST. JOSEPH STARKE
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
Sat, 26 Jun 2021 03:43:04 +0000
WW 0318 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 318
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 318
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-009-011-015-017-039-043-045-047-053-055-057-059-065-071-
073-075-083-093-103-129-149-151-153-260440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFABECKHAM BLAINE
CADDO CANADIANCUSTER
DEWEY ELLISGARFIELD
GRANT GREERHARMON
HARPERJACKSON KAY
KINGFISHERKIOWALOGAN
MAJOR NOBLEROGER MILLS
WASHITAWOODSWOODWARD
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
Sat, 26 Jun 2021 03:55:04 +0000
WW 0317 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 317
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 E STL TO
30 SSW SPI TO 10 E SPI TO 10 NW DEC TO 20 E BMI TO 35 NNW DNV.
WW 317 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 260400Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1105.
..MARSH..06/26/21
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...LOT...SGF...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 317
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC019-021-029-041-045-115-117-119-135-139-147-173-183-260400-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAMPAIGNCHRISTIANCOLES
DOUGLASEDGARMACON
MACOUPIN MADISON MONTGOMERY
MOULTRIE PIATTSHELBY
VERMILION
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
Sat, 26 Jun 2021 03:41:04 +0000
WW 0316 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 316
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNW GCK
TO 30 W HLC TO 15 NE HLC TO 40 SSW HSI TO 25 SE GRI TO 10 SW OLU
TO 15 SSW OFK.
WW 316 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 260200Z.
..MARSH..06/26/21
ATTN...WFO...GLD...BOU...GID...OAX...LBF...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 316
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC063-065-089-147-163-179-183-260200-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GOVEGRAHAMJEWELL
PHILLIPS ROOKSSHERIDAN
SMITH
NEC023-035-059-119-129-141-143-169-181-185-260200-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLERCLAY FILLMORE
MADISONNUCKOLLSPLATTE
POLKTHAYERWEBSTER
YORK
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.PLEASE
Read more
Sat, 26 Jun 2021 01:40:05 +0000
WW 0315 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 315
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 W DHT TO
20 NE DHT TO 20 W GUY TO 30 NNE EHA TO 60 S GLD.
ATTN...WFO...PUB...DDC...ICT...AMA...OUN...LUB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 315
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-081-083-093-097-101-119-
129-135-145-151-165-171-175-185-189-260140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBERBARTONCLARK
COMANCHE EDWARDS FINNEY
FORDGRANTGRAY
HASKELLHODGEMANKEARNY
KIOWA LANE MEADE
MORTONNESS PAWNEE
PRATT RUSH SCOTT
SEWARDSTAFFORDSTEVENS
OKC007-139-260140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVERTEXAS
TXC011-017-045-065-069-075-079-087-101-107-111-117-129-153-179-
Read more
Sat, 26 Jun 2021 00:40:04 +0000
WW 0314 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 314
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WSW MHK
TO 15 NNW EMP TO 35 ENE EMP TO 20 SE OJC TO 30 ENE SZL.
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...SGF...EAX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 314
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-011-015-017-031-035-037-041-049-059-061-073-077-079-
095-107-111-113-115-121-127-133-155-159-169-173-191-205-207-
260140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSONBOURBON
BUTLERCHASECOFFEY
COWLEYCRAWFORDDICKINSON
ELKFRANKLINGEARY
GREENWOODHARPERHARVEY
KINGMANLINN LYON
MCPHERSONMARIONMIAMI
MORRISNEOSHORENO
RICESALINESEDGWICK
SUMNERWILSONWOODSON
MOC011-013-015-037-039-083-085-101-159-185-217-260140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTONBATESBENTON
Read more
Sat, 26 Jun 2021 00:36:06 +0000
MD 1105 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 317...319... FOR EAST-CENTRAL MISSOURI NORTHEAST TO NORTHERN INDIANA
Mesoscale Discussion 1105
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1031 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021
Areas affected...east-central Missouri northeast to northern Indiana
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 318...319...
Valid 260331Z - 260430Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 318, 319
continues.
SUMMARY...Severe threat continues to diminish across the watch
areas. A brief window of strong wind potential may remain across
eastern Illinois, but the overall convective trends suggest a new
watch likely will not be needed.
DISCUSSION...Overall thunderstorm severity continues to wane across
the watch areas as evidenced by weakening of MESH cores and warming
cloud tops. Additionally, given the loss of diurnal heating, low
level stability should slowly increase overnight, reducing the
potential for organized, severe thunderstorm outflows and brief
tornadoes. However, a recent measured wind gust of 59 knots at
Decatur, IL, reiterates that the wind potential, albeit low, does
remain. Current thinking is that the overall isolated nature of the
threat should preclude the need for a new watch, although a local
extension in time of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 318 may be needed if
the wind potential does not diminish as quickly as expected.
..Marsh.. 06/26/2021
ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...SGF...
LAT...LON38359166 40709030 41788609 41628560 40668561 39708705
39228862 38499034 37759124 38359166
Read more
Sat, 26 Jun 2021 03:56:04 +0000
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0757 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021
Valid 260100Z - 261200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CENTRAL
PLAINS VICINITY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE MIDWEST...
...SUMMARY...
Strong/locally severe storms will linger into tonight from portions
of the southern/central High Plains into the Midwest.Locally
damaging wind gusts, hail and a tornado or two remain possible.
...The Plains...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms -- a good portion of which
initiated over higher terrain to the west earlier this afternoon --
continue moving eastward across western Kansas/western Oklahoma and
the Texas Panhandle.Another cluster of storms is moving eastward
across eastern Nebraska, in the vicinity of small mid-level vort
max.While a large portion of northeastern Kansas and northern
Missouri has been overturned by earlier convection (which is now
spreading south and southeast across central Missouri and
southeastern Kansas) the environment immediately ahead of the
western Kansas-to-Texas Panhandle convection remains moderately
unstable.This combined with moderate mid-level flow across the
area atop increasing nocturnal low-level southerlies will support
local risk for severe weather -- including both marginal hail and
damaging winds -- this evening.While storms will likely spread
across Kansas, and portions of Oklahoma overnight, as the low-level
jet increases, severe risk should gradually wane.
...The Midwest...
Showers and scattered thunderstorms are ongoing at this time from
northwestern Ohio and northern Indiana west-southwestward to
Missouri, along a weak surface boundary.From Missouri westward
into Kansas, more numerous storms -- comprising a rather
large/loosely organized MCS -- continue.With ample instability
near and ahead of the ongoing storms, expect locally robust
convection to continue locally, aided by a belt of
west-southwesterly mid-level flow around 40 kt.While gusty/locally
damaging winds and marginal hail will remain the primary severe risk
this evening, a tornado cannot be ruled out.Storms should
gradually diminish into the overnight hours, along with any
lingering/attendant severe risk.
..Goss.. 06/26/2021
Read more
Sat, 26 Jun 2021 01:01:38 +0000
+--------------------------- POWERSHELL WINDOWS ---------------------------+
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |