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LU9DCE > ALERT 05.07.21 17:34z 209 Lines 8110 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 1695_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 05-JUL.21
Path: HB9ON<IW2OHX<IQ2LB<IR2UFV<N3HYM<VE3CGR<LU9DCE
Sent: 210705/1730Z 1695@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM BPQ6.0.21
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
Copyright 2021 Eduardo A. Castillo
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
Storm Prediction Center
en-us
None
Mon, 05 Jul 2021 03:46:02 +0000
Mon, 05 Jul 2021 03:46:02 +0000
general
1
WW 334 SEVERE TSTM CO KS 042100Z - 050400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 334
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
400 PM CDT Sun Jul 4 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern Colorado
Western Kansas
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 400 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Storms are expected to continue to develop and intensify
across west-central Kansas through late afternoon/early evening,
with subsequent development possible farther west across
west/southwest Kansas and possibly nearby eastern Colorado this
evening. Modest-strength winds and an unstable air mass will support
the potential for large hail and damaging winds.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles east northeast
of Goodland KS to 5 miles south southwest of Liberal KS. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 333...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
35015.
...Guyer
Read more
Mon, 05 Jul 2021 02:25:04 +0000
WW 333 SEVERE TSTM CO NM OK TX 042035Z - 050400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 333
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
335 PM CDT Sun Jul 4 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Colorado
Northeast/east-central New Mexico
Oklahoma Panhandle
Texas Panhandle and South Plains
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 335 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Multiple corridors of strong to severe thunderstorm
development are expected late this afternoon through early evening,
initially including southeast Colorado/northeast New Mexico into the
Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles. Large hail will initially be the primary
hazard. By evening, multiple clusters/bands of storms should develop
and generally move southward with an increasing potential for
damaging winds.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 110
statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles northwest of La
Junta CO to 50 miles west southwest of Lubbock TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
35020.
...Guyer
Read more
Mon, 05 Jul 2021 02:33:05 +0000
WW 0334 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 334
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW GLD TO
45 SSE ITR TO 50 ENE LAA TO 20 N GUY.
A NEW WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED, BUT PARTS OF REMAINING VALID PORTION
OF WW COULD BE LOCALLY EXTENDED IN TIME FOR AN HOUR OR SO.
..KERR..07/05/21
ATTN...WFO...GLD...DDC...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 334
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC017-050400-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE
KSC071-075-129-187-050400-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREELEYHAMILTONMORTON
STANTON
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
Read more
Mon, 05 Jul 2021 02:25:04 +0000
WW 0333 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 333
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 E ROW TO
30 W TCC TO 35 NNE TCC TO 15 NW CAO TO 25 NW BGD TO 30 W AMA TO
55 WSW LBB.
A NEW WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED, BUT PARTS OF REMAINING VALID PORTION
OF WW 333 COULD BE LOCALLY EXTENDED IN TIME FOR AN HOUR OR TWO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1153.
..KERR..07/05/21
ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 333
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-061-099-050400-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACABENT KIOWA
PROWERS
NMC009-037-041-050400-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CURRY QUAY ROOSEVELT
OKC025-139-050400-
Read more
Mon, 05 Jul 2021 02:33:06 +0000
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Mon Jul5 03:46:07 UTC 2021.
Mon, 05 Jul 2021 03:45:31 +0000
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0754 PM CDT Sun Jul 04 2021
Valid 050100Z - 051200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTHERN HIGH
PLAINS AND NEAR THE WESTERN PART OF LAKE SUPERIOR...
...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe thunderstorms are forecast this evening over parts
of the southern High Plains and the western Lake Superior vicinity.
...Southern High Plains...
Ongoing clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms from parts of
southwest KS/southeast CO southward into eastern NM/west TX will
likely persist for a few more hours.The greatest severe risk and
longer duration threat will seemingly concentrate across parts of
the TX Panhandle into the South Plains where 2300 J/kg MLCAPE and 50
kt effective shear was sampled by the 00z Amarillo, TX raob.
Although confidence is relatively limited, will maintain a
significant wind/hail threat for this outlook update for storms and
their associated hazards through the mid evening.
...Upper Midwest...
The 00z International Falls, MN raob showed around 2000 J/kg MLCAPE
in the warm sector ahead of a cool front.Water-vapor imagery shows
a mid-level shortwave trough moving east-southeast across far
western Ontario and the Boundary Waters region.It is plausible
additional storms will develop near the boundary and pose a risk for
damaging gusts.It is uncertain how far southwest storms will
develop across MN given the weak cap sampled on the Minneapolis raob
but forcing for ascent focused farther north.
...Black Hills...
For short-term details, please refer to MCD 1152.The isolated risk
for severe gusts will likely diminish by 02-03z with the linear
convection as surface temperatures cool.
..Smith.. 07/05/2021
Read more
Mon, 05 Jul 2021 01:05:31 +0000
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