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LU9DCE > ALERT 01.09.21 14:43z 153 Lines 6068 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 4628_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 01-SEP.21
Path: HB9ON<IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<DK0WUE<PE1RRR<KC9UHI<KA1VSC<LU9DCE
Sent: 210901/1430Z 4628@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM BPQ6.0.22
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
Copyright 2021 Eduardo A. Castillo
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Storm Prediction Center
en-us
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Wed, 01 Sep 2021 03:42:02 +0000
Wed, 01 Sep 2021 03:42:02 +0000
general
1
WW 480 TORNADO NC VA 312335Z - 010700Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 480
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
735 PM EDT Tue Aug 31 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Extreme north-central North Carolina
Western and central Virginia
* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 735 PM
until 300 AM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...One supercell formed and quickly became tornadic in the
Blacksburg area in the past hour, and overall tornado potential
should increase through the evening.The threat should spread
northeastward over the watch area, as additional thunderstorms
develop in a favorably unstable air mass and interact with a
warm-frontal zone, where low-level shear is maximized.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles
either side of a line from 30 miles southwest of Roanoke VA to 40
miles east northeast of Charlottesville VA. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 23025.
...Edwards
Read more
Wed, 01 Sep 2021 03:41:05 +0000
WW 0480 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 480
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE LYH TO
25 SE BKW.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1665
..LEITMAN..09/01/21
ATTN...WFO...RNK...LWX...AKQ...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 480
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
VAC003-005-007-009-011-015-017-019-023-029-031-045-047-049-065-
075-079-109-113-125-137-139-145-147-157-161-163-165-171-177-530-
540-580-660-678-680-770-775-790-820-010440-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLEALLEGHANYAMELIA
AMHERSTAPPOMATTOX AUGUSTA
BATHBEDFORD BOTETOURT
BUCKINGHAMCAMPBELLCRAIG
CULPEPER CUMBERLAND FLUVANNA
GOOCHLANDGREENELOUISA
MADISONNELSONORANGE
PAGEPOWHATANPRINCE EDWARD
RAPPAHANNOCKROANOKE ROCKBRIDGE
ROCKINGHAMSHENANDOAH SPOTSYLVANIA
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
Read more
Wed, 01 Sep 2021 03:41:06 +0000
MD 1665 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 480... FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN VA
Mesoscale Discussion 1665
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1001 PM CDT Tue Aug 31 2021
Areas affected...portions of western VA
Concerning...Tornado Watch 480...
Valid 010301Z - 010430Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 480 continues.
SUMMARY...A threat for brief tornadoes continues across Tornado
Watch 480.
DISCUSSION...Several cells near Rockbridge to Albemarle counties in
western/central VA have intensified over the past hour or so. These
cells continue to exhibit periods of weak low-level rotation as they
shift north/northeast. This activity is occurring in the vicinity of
a surface boundary draped across the region and within a corridor of
stronger low-level instability (0-3 km MLCAPE around 100-125 m2/s2).
Low-level shear is somewhat less favorable with northeast extent
compared to earlier this evening, but still sufficient to support
rotating cells capable of brief tornadoes.
..Leitman.. 09/01/2021
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RNK...
LAT...LON37997799 37647840 37437884 37367933 37407970 37617989
37987986 38277956 38557894 38697835 38587796 38347787
37997799
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Wed, 01 Sep 2021 03:02:04 +0000
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0742 PM CDT Tue Aug 31 2021
Valid 010100Z - 011200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC...
...SUMMARY...
A tornado or two and isolated strong/gusty winds remain possible
tonight in association with the remnants of tropical cyclone Ida,
extending into the middle Atlantic.
...Remnants of Ida to the middle Atlantic...
Remnants of Ida have lifted into southeastern TN this evening.
Associated surface low is forecast to track into southern WV by
sunrise which should serve to sharpen the boundary currently draped
across the Delmarva into western VA. Well ahead of Ida, a small
cluster of supercells has developed over southwestern VA along the
aforementioned boundary. Tornado potential appears to be increasing
along the frontal corridor, per recent radar trends, and have
adjusted severe probabilities across western VA to account for this
development. Otherwise, severe threat may gradually increase
downstream later this evening as mid-level short-wave trough opens
and ejects northeast across the southern Appalachians.
Several weak circulations continue with stronger updrafts that trail
south of Ida across GA into southeast AL. Loss of boundary-layer
heating should lead to some weakening with this activity, but will
maintain at least low severe probabilities to account for gusty
winds, or perhaps a brief tornado.
..Darrow.. 09/01/2021
Read more
Wed, 01 Sep 2021 00:51:36 +0000
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