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LU9DCE > ALERT 18.10.21 15:37z 66 Lines 2461 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 7149_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 18-OCT21
Path: HB9ON<IW2OHX<IW0QNL<VE2PKT<VE3KPG<VA3TOK<LU9DCE
Sent: 211018/1531Z 7149@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM BPQ6.0.22
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
Copyright 2021 Eduardo A. Castillo
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Storm Prediction Center
en-us
None
Mon, 18 Oct 2021 00:44:02 +0000
Mon, 18 Oct 2021 00:44:02 +0000
general
1
No watches are valid as of Mon Oct 18 00:44:02 UTC 2021.
Mon, 18 Oct 2021 00:43:06 +0000
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Mon Oct 18 00:44:02 UTC 2021.
Mon, 18 Oct 2021 00:43:07 +0000
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0736 PM CDT Sun Oct 17 2021
Valid 180100Z - 181200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
The risk for thunderstorms appears negligible across much of the
U.S. through tonight.
...01Z Outlook Update...
Outside of a few rather localized areas, dry and/or stable
conditions prevail across much of the U.S., and the risk for
thunderstorms appears likely to remain generally negligible through
tonight.
...South Florida and the Keys...
Ahead of a southward advancing cold front, a moist and potentially
unstable boundary-layer layer lingers.However, relatively warm and
subsident mid-levels have precluded deep convective development
across southern portions of the Florida Peninsula.Mid-level
inhibition might be marginally weaker across the Keys into the
Florida Straits, where there still appears low probabilities for a
couple of thunderstorms this evening.
...Lower Great Lakes...
The 18/00Z raob from Buffalo indicates only very weak conditional
instability beneath relatively cold mid-level air associated with
the large-scale upper troughing.However, low-level lapse rates may
be a bit steeper out over Lakes Erie and Ontario.As forcing for
ascent associated with a perturbation digging south-southeast of
Georgian Bay/Lake Huron begin impacting the region later this
evening, some convection capable of producing lightning might not be
out of the question.
..Kerr.. 10/18/2021
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Mon, 18 Oct 2021 00:43:30 +0000
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