| |
LU9DCE > ALERT 03.01.22 14:37z 288 Lines 10855 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 1007_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 03-ENE.22
Path: HB9ON<IW2OHX<IW0QNL<VE2PKT<PY2BIL<LU9DCE
Sent: 220103/1431Z 1007@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.22
__ _ _ ___ ____ ___ ____ ____ ____ ____
( ) / )( \/ _ \( \ / __)( __) ( _ \( _ \/ ___)
/ (_/\) \/ (\__ )) D (( (__ ) _) ) _ ( ) _ (\___ \
\____/\____/(___/(____/ \___)(____) (____/(____/(____/
ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
Copyright 2021 - Eduardo A. Castillo
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
SPC Forecast Products Storm Prediction Center en-us None
spc.feedback@noaa.gov (spc.feedback@noaa.gov)
spc.feedback@noaa.gov (spc.feedback@noaa.gov) Mon, 03 Jan 2022
03:31:02 +0000 Mon, 03 Jan 2022 03:31:02 +0000 general 1
SPC Forecast Products
SPC Tornado Watch 11 WW 11 TORNADO FL GA SC CW 030250Z - 030800Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 11 NWS
Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 950 PM EST Sun Jan 2 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northern Florida Southeast Georgia Southern South Carolina Coastal
Waters
* Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 950 PM
until 300 AM EST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph
possible
SUMMARY...In the presence of strengthening low-level shear, a moist
and modestly unstable environment ahead of a cold front and steadily
deepening surface wave will support a continued damaging wind and
tornado risk, at least on an isolated basis, into the overnight hours.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 55 miles north northeast of Savannah GA
to 60 miles south of Valdosta GA. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 10...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface
and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60
knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion
vector 24040.
...Guyer
Read more
Mon, 03 Jan 2022 02:52:02 +0000
SPC Tornado Watch 9 WW 9 TORNADO AL FL GA CW 021915Z - 030200Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 9 NWS
Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 215 PM EST Sun Jan 2 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Far southeast Alabama Florida Panhandle Southwest to central Georgia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 215 PM until
900 PM EST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible Scattered damaging winds and isolated
significant gusts to 75
mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm clusters with embedded supercell and bowing
structures should spread northeast this afternoon into early evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 105 miles northeast of Albany GA to 15
miles south southeast of Panama City FL. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface
and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65
knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion
vector 24040.
...Grams
Read more
Mon, 03 Jan 2022 01:37:02 +0000
SPC Tornado Watch 11 Status Reports WW 0011 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0011 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
Read more
Mon, 03 Jan 2022 02:52:04 +0000
SPC Tornado Watch 10 Status Reports WW 0010 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 10
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW VDI TO 25
ENE VDI TO 25 NNW SAV TO 15 SE CHS.
..LYONS..01/03/22
ATTN...WFO...JAX...CHS...TAE...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 10
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC001-003-005-025-029-049-051-065-069-101-103-109-161-173-179-
183-185-191-229-267-299-305-030440-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPLING ATKINSON BACON BRANTLEY
BRYAN CHARLTON CHATHAM CLINCH
COFFEE ECHOLS EFFINGHAM EVANS JEFF DAVIS
LANIER LIBERTY LONG LOWNDES
MCINTOSH PIERCE TATTNALL WARE WAYNE
SCC013-053-030440-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT JASPER
AMZ352-354-030440-
Read more
Mon, 03 Jan 2022 02:41:03 +0000
SPC Tornado Watch 9 Status Reports WW 0009 Status Updates
STATUS REPORT ON WW 9
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSE PFN TO 40
ENE MAI TO 50 WSW VDI TO 15 NW VDI TO 40 NW SAV.
..LYONS..01/03/22
ATTN...WFO...TAE...FFC...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 9
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC037-039-045-065-073-077-129-030240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN GADSDEN GULF JEFFERSON
LEON LIBERTY WAKULLA
GAC017-019-027-071-075-131-155-209-271-275-277-279-309-030240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEN HILL BERRIEN BROOKS COLQUITT
COOK GRADY IRWIN MONTGOMERY
TELFAIR THOMAS TIFT TOOMBS WHEELER
GMZ752-755-030240-
CW
Read more
Mon, 03 Jan 2022 01:37:03 +0000
SPC MD 23 MD 0023 CONCERNING HEAVY SNOW FOR PARTS OF THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND SOUTHEAST
Mesoscale Discussion 0023 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0619
PM CST Sun Jan 02 2022
Areas affected...parts of the southern Appalachians and Southeast
Concerning...Heavy snow
Valid 030019Z - 030515Z
SUMMARY...Periods of moderate to heavy snow will likely develop
through this evening as temperatures begin to drop and forcing for
ascent strengthens markedly. Snow rates of 0.5-1 in/hour will be
possible with the strongest bands. Brief periods of mixed
precipitation including sleet and freezing rain may also develop.
DISCUSSION...As of 0015 UTC, a potent mid-level shortwave trough was
analyzed via WV imagery across the eastern ARKLATEX. To the south, a
90-100 kt jet streak was beginning to round the base of the positively
tilted trough moving onshore across southwestern LA. A broad area of
low pressure at the surface was centered across western GA with an
expanding precipitation shield noted to the northwest of the low and
ongoing convection.
Recent surface observations across southwestern TN and northern MS
have shown an increase in the occurrence of snow and mixed
precipitation types over the last few hours with diurnal cooling
taking place. Strong height falls from the approaching trough are
forecast to advect eastward over the next few hours as the trough
becomes negatively tilted, augmenting surface mass response and
deepening the aforementioned surface low. Low-level cold advection
should follow suit, accelerating the change over, first to mixed
precipitation, and then quickly to snow of parts of the expanding
precipitation field. While temperatures remain mild, the rain/snow
line should move eastward with time concurrent with increasing
precipitation rates from strengthening 850-700 frontogenesis and the
development of convective bands owing to subtle buoyancy aloft.
Regional soundings show favorable profiles for periods of moderate and
occasional heavy snow expanding northeastward with time from northern
AL into eastern/central TN along the western slopes of the southern
Appalachians. Snow rates of 0.5 to 0.75 in/hr will be possible for
several hours resulting in reduced visibility and potential travel
issues. Localized 1+ in/hr rates may also be possible beneath the
heavier convective elements or near local topography favorable for
orographic enhancement. Snow may linger for a few hours overnight
before forcing and dry air to the west shift precipitation
northeastward.
..Lyons/Guyer.. 01/03/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...
LAT...LON 36988294 36938250 36848214 36398195 36138206 35448303
34568481 34348622 34328700 34378746 34628792 34938800
35328770 35628707 36328547 36988294
Read more
Mon, 03 Jan 2022 00:20:03 +0000
SPC Jan 3, 2022 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook SPC 0100Z Day
1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0644 PM
CST Sun Jan 02 2022
Valid 030100Z - 031200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EASTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS...
...SUMMARY...
A few tornadoes and scattered damaging winds are possible across parts
of the Southeast and Carolinas through tonight.
...01z Update...
The main changes with the 01z update were to trim severe probabilities
out of AL, the western FL Panhandle and portions of west-central GA
where the surface front has passed. Elsewhere, the outlook remains
unchanged. There is some uncertainty with regards to the northward
extent of the severe threat across as abundant rainfall over the
Carolinas has somewhat muted the progress of the northward-retreating
warm front. Nevertheless, surface cyclogenesis is still forecast to
increase through the night, with the low shifting northeast across GA
into the Carolinas. Some potential will remain for locally damaging
gusts and a few tornadoes in the vicinity of the surface low if
adequate low-level destabilization can occur across east-central GA
into SC/NC. Some recent increase in storm organization/intensity has
been noted further south along the main convective line ahead of the
cold front from southern GA into the eastern FL Panhandle, and a
continued threat for a couple tornadoes and/or damaging wind gusts
will persist with this activity into tonight as well. For more details
on the short term severe threat from the eastern FL Panhandle into
southern GA and adjacent parts of SC, see MCD 0022.
..Leitman.. 01/03/2022
Read more
Mon, 03 Jan 2022 00:48:10 +0000
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
IPV6 MAP LU9DCE.DYNU.COM UDP 10093 By FreeBSD BBS
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
