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LU9DCE > ALERT 24.01.22 16:48z 91 Lines 3634 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 2430_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 24-ENE22
Path: HB9ON<IW8PGT<I3XTY<IZ3LSV<IQ5KG<IK1NHL<IQ2LB<IR2UFV<SK0BO<SM0YOS<
GB7CIP<N7HPX<LU9DCE
Sent: 220124/1630Z 2430@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.22
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
Copyright 2021 - Eduardo A. Castillo
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SPC Forecast Products Storm Prediction Center en-us
None spc.feedback@noaa.gov (spc.feedback@noaa.gov)
spc.feedback@noaa.gov (spc.feedback@noaa.gov) Mon, 24 Jan 2022
05:40:01 +0000 Mon, 24 Jan 2022 05:40:01 +0000 general 1
SPC Forecast Products
SPC - No watches are valid as of Mon Jan 24 05:40:01 UTC
2022 No watches are valid as of Mon Jan 24 05:40:01 UTC 2022.
Mon, 24 Jan 2022 05:39:07 +0000
SPC - No MDs are in effect as of Mon Jan 24 05:40:01 UTC
2022 No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Mon Jan
24 05:40:01 UTC 2022. Mon, 24 Jan 2022 05:39:06 +0000
SPC Jan 24, 2022 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook SPC 0100Z
Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0647
PM CST Sun Jan 23 2022
Valid 240100Z - 241200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY... Isolated weak convection, mostly lightning-free,
will be possible from southeast Arizona into portions of west
Texas tonight.
...01z Update...
Weak convection has developed beneath the upper low, north of
the primary jet, across southeastern AZ/southern NM/far west
TX. Deepest updrafts have yet to penetrate levels required for
lightning discharge and with the loss of daytime heating, this
process is less likely. While a flash or two of lightning can not be
ruled out early this evening across southeast AZ/southwest NM, and
perhaps into west TX later tonight, the probability for thunderstorms
appears less than 10 percent. For these reasons thunderstorms are
not forecast through sunrise.
..Darrow.. 01/24/2022
Read more
Mon, 24 Jan 2022 00:51:19 +0000
SPC Jan 24, 2022 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook SPC 1200Z
Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1135
PM CST Sun Jan 23 2022
Valid 241200Z - 251200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY... Isolated weak thunderstorms are possible from
southeast Texas into western Louisiana beginning late on Monday.
...TX/LA...
Water-vapor imagery depicts the center of an upper low just south of
the NM border over northern Mexico, shifting east toward TX in line
with latest model guidance. This low will open up and deamplify as
it approaches the lower MS Valley late in the period. In response
to this feature, a weak surface wave has formed off the south TX
coast and a low should evolve and track across the northwestern
Gulf Basin, likely remaining south of the LA coast Monday night. As
a result, low-level warm advection in advance of the short wave
will contribute to elevated convection north of the boundary across
southeast TX into western LA. Some of this activity is expected to
generate lightning. Forecast soundings are not particularly buoyant
with the most unstable parcels being lifted well above 850mb much
of the period.
..Darrow/Wendt.. 01/24/2022
Read more
Mon, 24 Jan 2022 05:39:12 +0000
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