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LU9DCE > ALERT 11.03.22 13:34z 62 Lines 2387 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 4314_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 11-MAR22
Path: HB9ON<IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<DB0RBS<DB0RES<PI8CDR<GB7YEW<LU9DCE
Sent: 220311/1330Z 4314@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM BPQ6.0.22
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP)
Copyright 2021 Eduardo A. Castillo
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Storm Prediction Center
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Fri, 11 Mar 2022 03:31:01 +0000
Fri, 11 Mar 2022 03:31:01 +0000
general
1
No watches are valid as of Fri Mar 11 03:31:02 UTC 2022.
Fri, 11 Mar 2022 03:30:04 +0000
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Fri Mar 11 03:31:02 UTC 2022.
Fri, 11 Mar 2022 03:30:04 +0000
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0626 PM CST Thu Mar 10 2022
Valid 110100Z - 111200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast tonight.
...01z Update...
Earlier convection that developed over the central FL Peninsula has
weakened considerably, and/or shifted southeast and mostly off the
southern FL Atlantic coast. This activity was likely aided by a weak
short-wave trough that is now translating quickly across SC. With
boundary-layer cooling, and weak large-scale support, the likelihood
for robust convection is lessening. For these reasons have lowered
severe probabilities across the FL Peninsula.
Farther west, higher PW air mass over the western Gulf basin is
beginning to advance toward the upper TX Coast. With strengthening
low-level warm advection, and steep mid-level lapse rates, there is
some threat for weak convection developing across this region late
tonight. Have extended thunder probabilities into this region of TX
to account for this potential.
Isolated thunderstorms have developed over northern AZ ahead of
digging short-wave trough. 00z sounding from FGZ exhibited very
steep lapse rates, and adjusting for warmer surface temperatures
downstream, weak buoyancy will likely support a few flashes of
lightning with stronger convection for the next few hours.
..Darrow.. 03/11/2022
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Fri, 11 Mar 2022 00:30:03 +0000
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