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LU9DCE > ALERT    06.08.22 14:05z 97 Lines 3147 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 2979_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 06-AUG22
Path: HB9ON<IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<DB0RBS<DB0RES<PI8CDR<GB7YEW<LU9DCE
Sent: 220806/1401Z 2979@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.22

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           / (_/\) \/ (\__  )) D (( (__  ) _)    ) _ ( ) _ (\___ \ 
           \____/\____/(___/(____/ \___)(____)  (____/(____/(____/ 

               ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
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SPC - No watches are valid as of Sat Aug 6 10:57:01 UTC 2022

No watches are valid as of Sat Aug 6 10:57:01 UTC 2022.

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SPC - No MDs are in effect as of Sat Aug 6 10:57:01 UTC 2022

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Sat Aug 6 10:57:01 UTC
2022.

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SPC Aug 6, 2022 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
 
Day 3 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0225 AM CDT Sat Aug 06 2022

Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe storms appear unlikely across the CONUS on Monday.

...Discussion...
A mean upper ridge will exist from the Four Corners to the Mid
Atlantic, providing warm temperatures aloft and weak winds. Only
20-30 kt midlevel westerlies will exist across the Great Lakes and
Northeast, the exception being ME where stronger speeds will exist
well north of a front. This front will extend roughly from OK to IL
to southern New England during the day, and a moist and unstable air
mass will exist south of it. Although dewpoints will average in the
65-70 F range along the front, warm temperatures aloft will minimize
MUCAPE, with values of only 500-1000 J/kg common. Scattered
afternoon storms will be possible along the front, with locally
strong gusts possible, but the severe threat appears low overall.

Elsewhere, isolated, non-severe afternoon storms may occur over
parts of OR within a weak surface trough, as midlevel moisture
increases ahead of an upper low off the West Coast.

..Jewell.. 08/06/2022


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SPC Aug 6, 2022 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

Day 4-8 Outlook
 
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0300 AM CDT Sat Aug 06 2022

Valid 091200Z - 141200Z

...DISCUSSION...
A prominent upper high will gradually move from the central Rockies
into the Plains, where it will remain through Saturday/D8.
Meanwhile, a large upper trough will develop over eastern Canada,
with lowering heights extending south across the Great Lakes and
Northeast Wednesday/D5 into Friday/D7. Although winds aloft will
increase across this region, moisture and instability will likely be
pushed too far south as a front continues moving toward the Mid
Atlantic and Southeast.

Elsewhere, daily monsoonal storms will persist across much of the
West, and sporadic strong wind gusts may occur with these afternoon
storms.


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