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LU9DCE > ALERT 11.11.22 08:46z 196 Lines 6195 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 5352_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 11-NOV22
Path: HB9ON<IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<DK0WUE<GB7CIP<N7HPX<LU9DCE
Sent: 221111/0830Z 5352@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.23
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
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SPC Tornado Watch 567
WW 567 TORNADO GA NC SC CW 102330Z - 110600Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 567...CORRECTED
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
635 PM EST Thu Nov 10 2022
CORRECTED FOR TIME ZONE
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southeast Georgia
Far southern North Carolina
Eastern and southern South Carolina
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 635 PM
until 100 AM EST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
SUMMARY...Low-topped showers and isolated thunderstorms will persist
downstream of tropical cyclone Nicole. The environment will be
supportive of transient circulations capable of producing brief
tornadoes.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles north of Myrtle Beach SC to 10
miles west southwest of Savannah GA. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...This tornado watch replaces tornado
watch number 566. Watch number 566 will not be in effect after
635 PM EST.
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 50 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 350. Mean
storm motion vector 13035.
...Grams
Read more
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SPC Tornado Watch 567 Status Reports
WW 0567 Status Updates
STATUS FOR WATCH 0567 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
Read more
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SPC MD 1940
MD 1940 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 567... FOR FAR EASTERN
GEORGIA...SOUTH CAROLINA...FAR SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA
Mesoscale Discussion 1940
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0943 PM CST Thu Nov 10 2022
Areas affected...Far Eastern Georgia...South Carolina...Far Southern
North Carolina
Concerning...Tornado Watch 567...
Valid 110343Z - 110545Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 567 continues.
SUMMARY...A tornado threat is likely to continue into the overnight
period across parts of eastern Georgia, southeastern South Carolina
into far southern North Carolina.
DISCUSSION...Tropical Storm Nicole is currently located near the
Georgia-Florida state-line to the north of Tallahassee. An inner
rainband is located to the north of the center, with an outer
rainband located from eastern Georgia extending eastward into
southern South Carolina and then offshore. The WSR-88D VWP at
Columbia has strong speed shear in the lowest kilometer above
ground, which is resulting in about 40 knots of 0-1 km shear and 0-3
km storm relative helicity just above 450 m2/s2. This kinematic
environment will be favorable for storm rotation, and possibly a
tornado or two with cells that move inland from the coast. The
tornado threat is expected to continue into the overnight period.
..Broyles.. 11/11/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MHX...ILM...CHS...CAE...FFC...
LAT...LON 31098027 31338143 31408135 31488127 31718114 31878132
31998146 31948161 32068164 32078170 32058185 32098198
32248202 32328206 32348219 32488214 32548205 32648206
32788213 32818222 32868229 33288227 33278215 33248209
33218191 33218173 33238166 33578122 33718101 33768098
33768080 33758064 33848061 34088058 34128049 34088032
34028023 34008016 34098004 34217987 34327950 34327920
34317909 34437889 34477855 34427841 34467815 34607798
34627816 34757801 34727758 34347738 34207722 34027752
33787761 33537776 33507786 33537810 33607831 33547851
33397863 33277873 33257885 32967890 32917882 32817868
32677873 32457895 32307923 32107949 31987968 31877992
31698013 31577989 31557988 31098027
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SPC Nov 11, 2022 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0636 PM CST Thu Nov 10 2022
Valid 110100Z - 111200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE
CAROLINAS INTO FAR EASTERN GEORGIA...
...SUMMARY...
A couple brief tornadoes remain possible from far eastern Georgia
into parts of the Carolinas. Marginally severe hail may occur late
tonight into Friday morning over parts of southwest Texas.
...GA/SC/NC...
Strong low-level shear and moistening low levels to the right of the
track of TC Nicole will continue to favor low-topped convection with
the potential for brief tornadoes within the stronger convective
bands. The most favorable areas will be from the GA/SC border this
evening northeastward into southern NC tonight as dewpoints rise
into the lower 70s F. The 00Z CHS sounding shows minimal SBCAPE with
a 70 F dewpoint, suggesting higher values may be required for a
tornado risk.
...Southwestern TX...
A cold front will surge south across TX tonight with cooling aloft
with the approaching upper trough. This front may focus storm
development after 09Z Friday morning as low 60s F dewpoints get
undercut. Forecast soundings show lengthy, straight hodographs and
cool temperatures which could favor elevated storms producing
marginally severe hail.
..Jewell.. 11/11/2022
Read more
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