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LU9DCE > ALERT 16.12.22 06:33z 65 Lines 2113 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 8638_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 16-DEC22
Path: HB9ON<IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<I0OJJ<LU4ECL<LU9DCE
Sent: 221216/0631Z 8638@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.23
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP) PHP
Copyright 2022 - Eduardo A. Castillo
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SPC - No watches are valid as of Fri Dec 16 02:01:02 UTC 2022
No watches are valid as of Fri Dec 16 02:01:02 UTC 2022.
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SPC - No MDs are in effect as of Fri Dec 16 02:01:02 UTC 2022
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Fri Dec 16 02:01:02 UTC
2022.
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SPC Dec 16, 2022 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0636 PM CST Thu Dec 15 2022
Valid 160100Z - 161200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorm potential appears low the rest of tonight.
...01z Update...
Deep westerly flow has established itself across the FL Peninsula
this evening. 850mb flow will continue to weaken as surface cold
front sags south across the southern peninsula overnight. A band of
weak convection, somewhat organized, is shifting east across this
region but buoyancy over land is expected to continue weakening.
Lapse rates observed on the 00z sounding from MFL do not favor
robust updrafts and weak low-level shear is poor. For these reasons
will not maintain severe probabilities across south FL.
Farther north across the middle Atlantic, strong low-level warm
advection may prove sufficient for a few flashes of lightning with
the strongest elevated convection; however, this activity should
remain isolated.
..Darrow.. 12/16/2022
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