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LU9DCE > ALERT 23.12.22 08:03z 69 Lines 2539 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 9148_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 23-DEC22
Path: HB9ON<IW0QNL<IZ3LSV<I0OJJ<LU4ECL<LU9DCE
Sent: 221223/0630Z 9148@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.23
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ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
BOLETINES INFORMATIVOS PROGRAMADOS (BIP) PHP
Copyright 2022 - Eduardo A. Castillo
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SPC - No watches are valid as of Fri Dec 23 01:46:01 UTC 2022
No watches are valid as of Fri Dec 23 01:46:01 UTC 2022.
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SPC - No MDs are in effect as of Fri Dec 23 01:46:01 UTC 2022
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Fri Dec 23 01:46:01 UTC
2022.
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SPC Dec 23, 2022 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0636 PM CST Thu Dec 22 2022
Valid 230100Z - 231200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA...
...SUMMARY...
A few severe thunderstorms are possible this evening into tonight
over the western and central part of the Florida Peninsula.
...Western and Central Florida Peninsula...
An upper-level trough will move into the Mississippi Valley this
evening, as an associated 100 to 130 knot mid-level jet noses into
the southern Appalachian Mountains. At the surface, a strong cold
front will advance eastward across the Southeast and west-central
Gulf of Mexico. Ahead of the front, a moist axis with surface
dewpoints generally from 65 to 70 F, will move eastward toward the
western Florida Peninsula this evening. Moderate instability is
analyzed within this south-to-north corridor of maximized low-level
moisture, with several thunderstorms ongoing. These storms will
approach the Florida coast and move inland this evening. The
southern edge of the mid-level jet is creating strong deep-layer
shear, favorable for supercells with marginally severe wind gusts
and hail. However, a lack of large-scale ascent will keep any severe
threat isolated. The threat could persist into the early overnight
period as the moisture and instability axis moves inland across
western Florida.
..Broyles.. 12/23/2022
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