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LU9DCE > ALERT    13.01.23 14:01z 69 Lines 2431 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 2211_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 11-JAN23
Path: HB9ON<IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<I0OJJ<GB7CIP<GB7YEW<LU9DCE
Sent: 230111/0631Z 2211@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.23

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           / (_/\) \/ (\__  )) D (( (__  ) _)    ) _ ( ) _ (\___ \ 
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               ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
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SPC - No watches are valid as of Wed Jan 11 02:26:01 UTC 2023

No watches are valid as of Wed Jan 11 02:26:01 UTC 2023.

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SPC - No MDs are in effect as of Wed Jan 11 02:26:01 UTC 2023

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Wed Jan 11 02:26:01 UTC
2023.

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SPC Jan 11, 2023 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
 
Day 1 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0656 PM CST Tue Jan 10 2023

Valid 110100Z - 111200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
The severe-thunderstorm threat is expected to be low for the
remainder of tonight.

...California into the southern Great Basin...
Low-topped convection is ongoing this evening across parts of
central/northern CA into the Sierras. While deep-layer flow/shear
has weakened compared to earlier today, cold temperatures aloft and
modest effective shear may continue to support weakly organized
convection capable of small hail and gusty winds for a few hours
this evening, though the threat for severe thunderstorms has
diminished. Thunderstorm coverage is expected to decrease later
tonight as midlevel temperatures begin to warm in response to a
shortwave upper ridge building into the region. 

Farther east into western UT and northwest AZ, some uptick in
lightning activity has recently been noted with a frontal band of
convection moving out of the southern Great Basin. Strong low-level
flow (40+ kt at 1 km AGL per recent VWPs) will support a threat of
gusty winds with this convection as it spreads eastward this
evening, though very meager downstream instability is expected to
limit the organized severe-thunderstorm threat.

..Dean.. 01/11/2023


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