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LU9DCE > ALERT    08.02.23 10:00z 67 Lines 2375 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 3123_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 23-JAN23
Path: HB9ON<IW0QNL<IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<DK0WUE<GB7CIP<I0OJJ<EA2RCF<LU9DCE
Sent: 230123/0830Z 3123@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.23

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           / (_/\) \/ (\__  )) D (( (__  ) _)    ) _ ( ) _ (\___ \ 
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               ESTACION DE PACKET RADIO - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
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                     Copyright 2022 - Eduardo A. Castillo
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SPC - No watches are valid as of Mon Jan 23 01:16:02 UTC 2023

No watches are valid as of Mon Jan 23 01:16:02 UTC 2023.

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SPC - No MDs are in effect as of Mon Jan 23 01:16:02 UTC 2023

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Mon Jan 23 01:16:02 UTC
2023.

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SPC Jan 23, 2023 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
 
Day 1 Convective Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0649 PM CST Sun Jan 22 2023

Valid 230100Z - 231200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS NORTH FLORIDA
INTO COASTAL GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA...

...SUMMARY...
A few marginally severe thunderstorms are possible this evening from
north Florida into southern Georgia and southern South Carolina. An
isolated tornado or damaging gust is possible.

...Synopsis...
Water-vapor imagery early this evening shows a mid-level shortwave
trough over the lower MS Valley and this feature will move to the
southern Appalachians tonight. A band of thunderstorms this evening
along an east-southeastward moving front will continue to push
through north FL and into the Atlantic shelf waters east of the
GA/SC coast. The 7pm (00 UTC) Jacksonville, FL raob showed weak
buoyancy (700 J/kg MLCAPE) and a strengthening southwesterly wind
profile. An attendant risk for an isolated damaging gust and/or
brief tornado will remain possible this evening before the
convective line pushes through north FL. Weakening low-level
convergence and a nocturnally cooling boundary layer farther south
will tend to limit strong thunderstorm potential as the front pushes
through central FL late tonight.

..Smith.. 01/23/2023


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