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LU9DCE > ALERT 09.05.23 14:00z 390 Lines 15836 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 9526_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 09-MAY23
Path: HB9ON<IW0QNL<IZ3LSV<I0OJJ<EA2RCF<LU9DCE
Sent: 230509/1200Z 9526@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.23
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SPC - NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF TUE MAY 9 08:46:01 UTC 2023
NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF TUE MAY 9 08:46:01 UTC 2023.
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SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF TUE MAY 9 08:46:01 UTC 2023
NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF TUE MAY 9 08:46:01 UTC 2023.
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SPC MAY 9, 2023 0600 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 1200Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0100 AM CDT TUE MAY 09 2023
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS...AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA INTO FAR
SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...
...SUMMARY...
SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH A LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
THREAT SHOULD OCCUR TODAY ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL
PLAINS, AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA INTO FAR SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA.
...SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS...
UPPER RIDGING WILL GENERALLY PREVAIL OVER MUCH OF THE PLAINS TODAY,
WITH A SUBTLE SHORTWAVE TROUGH FORECAST TO ADVANCE OVER PORTIONS OF
THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST. A WEAK SURFACE LOW
SHOULD REMAIN CENTERED OVER SOUTHEASTERN CO AND VICINITY THROUGH THE
DAY, WITH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FORECAST TO RETURN NORTHWARD IN TANDEM
WITH A DIFFUSE WARM FRONT ACROSS KS INTO PERHAPS FAR SOUTHERN NE. A
DRYLINE IS ALSO EXPECTED TO MIX EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH
PLAINS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
ELEVATED CONVECTION MAY BE ONGOING AT THE START OF THE PERIOD LATER
THIS MORNING IN A WEAK LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION REGIME ACROSS
SOUTHERN NE INTO NORTHERN KS. WITH MUCAPE EXPECTED TO INCREASE
ACROSS THIS AREA AS THE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE RETURNS NORTHWARD, THESE
EARLY-DAY THUNDERSTORMS MAY POSE AN ISOLATED THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL.
IF THIS ACTIVITY CAN PERSIST, IT MAY EVENTUALLY BECOME SURFACE BASED
ALONG/NEAR THE FRONT ACROSS NORTHERN INTO EASTERN KS. AN INCREASING
THREAT FOR LARGE TO VERY LARGE HAIL AND SEVERE/DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS
WOULD OCCUR IF THIS SCENARIO UNFOLDS, AS BOTH INSTABILITY AND
EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS. UPSCALE GROWTH INTO AN
MCS ALSO APPEARS POSSIBLE, BUT DETAILS ON CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION
REMAIN UNCERTAIN.
ALTHOUGH LESS CONFIDENCE EXISTS IN CONVECTIVE INITIATION ALONG THE
FRONT/DRYLINE INTERSECTION IN WESTERN KS AND VICINITY DUE TO
NEBULOUS LARGE-SCALE ASCENT, THERE STILL APPEARS TO BE ENOUGH
CONDITIONAL POTENTIAL TO SUPPORT MAINTAINING SLIGHT RISK CALIBER
SEVERE PROBABILITIES FOR BOTH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ACROSS
THIS AREA. THE PROBABILITY FOR ANY THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP FARTHER
SOUTH ALONG THE LENGTH OF THE DRYLINE INTO THE TX PANHANDLE AND WEST
TX APPEARS HIGHLY CONDITIONAL, WITH LITTLE CONVECTIVE SIGNAL IN MOST
GUIDANCE.
...EASTERN CAROLINAS INTO SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
MID-ATLANTIC TODAY. A BELT OF ENHANCED WEST-NORTHWESTERLY MID-LEVEL
FLOW WILL ACCOMPANY THIS FEATURE, AND PROVIDE SUPPORT FOR SUFFICIENT
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR TO FOSTER THUNDERSTORM ORGANIZATION. ALTHOUGH
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE VEERED MOSTLY TO WEST-NORTHWESTERLY ACROSS THE
CAROLINAS AND SOUTHEASTERN VA, THERE SHOULD STILL BE ADEQUATE
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE FOR WEAK TO MODERATE INSTABILITY TO
DEVELOP IN CONCERT WITH DAYTIME HEATING.
MOST GUIDANCE SHOWS CONVECTION DEVELOPING ACROSS PARTS OF
SOUTHEASTERN VA INTO EASTERN NC THIS AFTERNOON ALONG/NEAR A SURFACE
TROUGH. A MIX OF MULTICELLS AND PERHAPS A FEW SUPERCELLS APPEARS
POSSIBLE, WITH A THREAT FOR BOTH SEVERE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. A
SMALL BOWING CLUSTER MAY DEVELOP AND POSE A GREATER WIND THREAT WITH
TIME INTO EASTERN NC. LESS CONFIDENCE EXISTS WITH SOUTHWARD EXTENT
INTO SC REGRADING OVERALL CONVECTIVE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY.
...TEXAS/LOUISIANA GULF COAST...
AT LEAST ONE REMNANT MCV FROM PRIOR CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE
PRESENT ALONG PART THE TX GULF COAST AT THE START OF THE PERIOD THIS
MORNING. ALTHOUGH THIS REGION WILL BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF UPPER
RIDGING AND LARGE-SCALE SUBSIDENCE, THERE SHOULD STILL BE POTENTIAL
FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF RICH
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND THE INFLUENCE/SUBTLE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH
THE MCV AND VARIOUS SEA BREEZES. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT CAN DEVELOP
IN THIS MODERATE/STRONG INSTABILITY BUT WEAK DEEP-LAYER SHEAR
ENVIRONMENT WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE ISOLATED DAMAGING
WINDS AND PERHAPS MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.
..GLEASON/LYONS.. 05/09/2023
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SPC MAY 9, 2023 0600 UTC DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0600Z DAY 2 OUTLOOK
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1257 AM CDT TUE MAY 09 2023
VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS REGION...
...SUMMARY...
SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS -- CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS AND HAIL, AND POTENTIALLY A COUPLE OF TORNADOES -- ARE
EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITHIN AN AREA CENTERED
OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.
...SYNOPSIS...
AS A WEAK MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
TOWARD THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, A MORE SUBSTANTIAL LOW/TROUGH
IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE WEST. AS THIS TROUGH CROSSES
CALIFORNIA AND THE GREAT BASIN IN NEGATIVELY TILTED FASHION, LOW IS
PROGGED TO EVOLVE WITHIN THE BASE OF THE TROUGH OVER THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION LATE IN THE DAY. OVERNIGHT, THE LOW WILL REACH THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.
AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE WILL GENERALLY PREVAIL OVER THE EAST
OF THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. MEANWHILE, A COLD FRONT CROSSING THE
WESTERN STATES SHOULD REACH THE HIGH PLAINS DURING THE EVENING,
MERGING WITH AN EXISTING LEE TROUGH/LOW.
...SOUTHEASTERN MONTANA SOUTH TO THE TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...
A MODESTLY/SEASONABLY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WILL BE MAINTAINED ACROSS
THE HIGH PLAINS REGION WEDNESDAY, SOUTHEASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW
ENCOMPASSES THE PLAINS TO THE EAST OF THE LEE TROUGH.
DAYTIME HEATING WILL SUPPORT AFTERNOON DESTABILIZATION, WITH 1000 TO
2000 J/KG MIXED-LAYER CAPE EXPECTED BY MID AFTERNOON. WITH A WEAK
UPSLOPE COMPONENT TO THE FLOW, AND PRESENCE OF THE LEE TROUGH,
EXPECT SCATTERED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT TO BEGIN BY MID AFTERNOON
ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN WYOMING AND THE COLORADO FRONT RANGE, AND
SHORTLY THEREAFTER NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHEASTERN MONTANA, AND
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS IN A MORE ISOLATED MANNER.
AS A MERIDIONAL/SOUTHERLY MID-LEVEL JET STREAK ON THE EASTERN
PERIPHERY OF THE TROUGH SPREADS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS, ATOP
LOW-LEVEL SOUTHEASTERLIES, SHEAR SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED/ROTATING
UPDRAFTS WILL EVOLVE. AS SUCH, INITIAL/CELLULAR STORM MODE SHOULD
SUPPORT LARGE HAIL AS THE PRIMARY RISK, THOUGH DAMAGING WINDS WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE LOCALLY. A COUPLE OF TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE -- PARTICULARLY FROM THE PALMER DIVIDE OF COLORADO
NORTHWARD ACROSS EASTERN WYOMING WHERE SURFACE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE MORE BACKED/EASTERLY NORTH OF A WEAK LEE LOW.
WITH TIME, STORMS SHOULD GROW UPSCALE LOCALLY INTO MORE
COMPLEX/BANDED MODES, SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD OFF THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. THIS COULD SUPPORT SOME INCREASE IN WIND RISK INTO THE
EVENING HOURS, BEFORE A GRADUAL OVERNIGHT NOCTURNAL DECREASE IN
CONVECTIVE INTENSITY COMMENCES.
..GOSS.. 05/09/2023
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SPC MAY 9, 2023 0730 UTC DAY 3 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
SPC 0730Z DAY 3 OUTLOOK
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0233 AM CDT TUE MAY 09 2023
VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS A BROAD
CORRIDOR FOCUSED ON THE CENTRAL PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS VICINITY, WHERE LARGE HAIL CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY A COUPLE OF
TORNADOES.
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LOW PROGGED TO LIE OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AREA EARLY
IN THE DAY IS FORECAST TO PIVOT SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS NEBRASKA
AND INTO SOUTH DAKOTA THROUGH THE PERIOD. AT THIS OCCURS, A SURFACE
LOW IS FORECAST TO SHIFT NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF COLORADO ALONG ROUGHLY
THE SAME PATH, WHILE A TRAILING TROUGH/DRYLINE REACHES CENTRAL
KANSAS/WESTERN OKLAHOMA BY LATE AFTERNOON.
ELSEWHERE, RIDGING ON THE WESTERN AND EASTERN FLANKS OF THE LOW WILL
AFFECT THE WEST COAST, AND THE SOUTHEAST/MIDWEST, WHILE
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT PREVAILS ACROSS NEW ENGLAND.
...THE PLAINS STATES FROM SOUTH DAKOTA TO OKLAHOMA...
AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING SURFACE SYSTEM, AFTERNOON HEATING ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS AND VICINITY WILL COMBINE WITH A SEASONABLY MOIST
BOUNDARY LAYER TO YIELD MODERATE DESTABILIZATION -- PARTICULARLY
FROM CENTRAL NEBRASKA SOUTHWARD. WHILE A LOW-LEVEL CAPPING
INVERSION WILL LIMIT CONVECTIVE COVERAGE WITH SOUTHWARD EXTENT,
PARTICULARLY GIVEN THE NORTHEASTWARD ADVANCE OF THE UPPER SYSTEM,
ISOLATED STORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG THE DRYLINE BY LATE
AFTERNOON AS FAR SOUTH AS CENTRAL KANSAS AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA.
HERE, STEEP LAPSE RATES AND VEERING/INCREASING FLOW WITH HEIGHT WILL
SUPPORT SUPERCELLS, WITH VERY LARGE HAIL AND A DAMAGING GUST OR TWO
EXPECTED, AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO.
FARTHER NORTH -- INTO NEBRASKA AND SOUTH DAKOTA, INSTABILITY WILL
DECREASE WITH NORTHWARD EXTENT. STILL, WITH LOW-LEVEL SOUTHEASTERLY
FLOW VEERING TO A MORE SOUTHERLY DIRECTION AT MID LEVELS WILL
SUPPORT ORGANIZED/ROTATING STORMS, WITH RISK FOR HAIL AND LOCALLY
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ALONG WITH A TORNADO OR TWO. STORMS MAY GROW
UPSCALE OVERNIGHT AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET INCREASES, SPREADING ACROSS
THE MID-MISSOURI VALLEY ALONG WITH SOME HAIL/WIND POTENTIAL.
..GOSS.. 05/09/2023
READ MORE
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SPC MAY 9, 2023 DAY 4-8 SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
DAY 4-8 OUTLOOK
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0336 AM CDT TUE MAY 09 2023
VALID 121200Z - 171200Z
...DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO DRIFT VERY SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS
THE NEBRASKA/SOUTH DAKOTA VICINITY DAY 4/FRIDAY, WHILE A SECOND/WEAK
DISTURBANCE MOVES OUT OF NORTHERN MEXICO INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
TEXAS. WHILE THUNDERSTORMS -- AND SOME SEVERE POTENTIAL -- WILL
LIKELY OCCUR IN THE VICINITY OF THESE TWO FEATURES, RISK APPEARS TOO
LOW TO HIGHLIGHT WITH A 15% AREA AT THIS TIME.
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD, WEAK FLOW ALOFT IS FORECAST ACROSS
ALL BUT THE NORTHEAST/GREAT LAKES REGION, WHICH SHOULD GENERALLY
LIMIT SEVERE POTENTIAL ON THE BROADER SCALE. AS A BLOCKING HIGH
DEVELOPS OVER WESTERN NORTH AMERICA AND LINGERS THROUGH THE MEDIUM
RANGE, EASTERN U.S. TROUGHING WILL GRADUALLY EVOLVE. WHILE THIS
INCREASE IN TROUGHING -- AND THE MAGNITUDE OF THE UPPER FLOW FIELD
-- COULD LEAD TO SOME INCREASE IN POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER
THROUGH LATTER STAGES OF THE PERIOD, DIFFERENCES AMONGST THE MODELS
SUGGEST LIMITED PREDICTABILITY OF THE PATTERN EVOLUTION.
READ MORE
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SPC DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
SPC DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0146 AM CDT TUE MAY 09 2023
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
...SYNOPSIS...
ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST, MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL SLOWLY INTENSIFY AHEAD OF
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH DEEPENING OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN CA. AS THE
TROUGH SHIFTS EASTWARD, SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL INTENSIFY A LEE LOW
OVER SOUTHERN CO. TO THE WEST OF A TRAILING DRYLINE, GUSTY DOWNSLOPE
FLOW WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NM AND ONTO THE
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. WITH DRY SURFACE CONDITIONS AND RECEPTIVE
FUELS IN PLACE, ELEVATED TO LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE.
...NM/SOUTHEASTERN CO ONTO THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
BY MID MORNING, TEMPERATURES ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN NM, SOUTHERN CO,
AND THE ADJACENT SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS WILL QUICKLY WARM WITHIN THE
DRY AIR MASS. THE POOR OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERIES OF THE LAST
SEVERAL DAYS WILL CONTINUE WITH WIDESPREAD AFTERNOON RH VALUES OF
5-15% LIKELY. AS THE AIR MASS MIXES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, STRONGER
FLOW ALOFT AND INCREASING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS TO THE WEST OF
THE LEE LOW/DRYLINE WILL ENHANCE DOWNSLOPE SURFACE WINDS TO 15-20
MPH. GIVEN LITTLE RAINFALL OVER ALREADY DRY FUELS, THE GUSTY WINDS
AND LOW HUMIDITY WILL LIKELY SUPPORT WIDESPREAD ELEVATED TO LOCALLY
CRITICAL FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS FROM PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
EASTERN NM, INTO SOUTHEASTERN CO, AND THE ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS. THE
MOST LIKELY CORRIDOR FOR SUSTAINED ELEVATED/LOCALLY CRITICAL
CONDITIONS WILL BE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN NM AND
SOUTHEASTERN CO WHERE LOW-LEVEL FLOW MAY BE LOCALLY STRONGER NEAR
THE LEE LOW.
...PERMIAN BASIN AND SOUTHWEST TX...
ALONG AND BEHIND THE DRYLINE IN SOUTHWESTERN TX, LINGERING MOISTURE
AND VERY WARM AFTERNOON SURFACE TEMPERATURES MAY GENERATE ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS. DRY SUB-CLOUD LAYERS ON AREA
MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST LOWER PRECIPITATION EFFICIENCY WITH ANY
STORMS THAT DEVELOP. GIVEN DRY AREA FUELS, SOME DRY LIGHTNING MAY BE
POSSIBLE OUTSIDE OF THE HEAVIER RAIN CORES. HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE IN
THE COVERAGE OF STORMS AND THE DRY THUNDER THREAT IS LOW.
..LYONS.. 05/09/2023
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
READ MORE
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SPC DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
SPC DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0148 AM CDT TUE MAY 09 2023
VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN
NEW MEXICO...
...SYNOPSIS...
BY DAY2/WED, A COMPACT MID-LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE
SOUTHWEST WITH STRONG FLOW ALOFT EXTENDING EASTWARD OVER THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS. A SURFACE LOW WILL RAPIDLY DEEPEN
AIDING IN STRONG SURFACE FLOW ACROSS SUCH OF NM, SOUTHERN CO AND THE
HIGH PLAINS. DRY DOWNSLOPE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY WILL SUPPORT
WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS.
...NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHERN COLORADO...
AS THE MAIN SHORTWAVE BEGINS TO EJECT OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES,
60-70 KT OF MID-LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL OVERSPREAD NM AND
SOUTHERN CO. A SURFACE LOW WILL QUICKLY DEEPEN ACROSS SOUTHERN CO
ENHANCING DOWNSLOPE PRESSURE GRADIENTS ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN
ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS. WIDESPREAD WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS ARE LIKELY. BY EARLY AFTERNOON, VERY WARM SURFACE
TEMPERATURES, IN COMBINATION WITH DOWNSLOPING WINDS AND THE ALREADY
DRY AIR MASS WILL FAVOR RH VALUES BELOW 10%. WIDESPREAD CRITICAL
FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL NM,
EXTENDING NORTH INTO SOUTHERN CO.
THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY ON EASTERN EXTENT OF FIRE-WEATHER
CONDITIONS AS THE DEEPENING LOW BEGINS TO DRAW SURFACE MOISTURE
FARTHER NORTH AND WEST. HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS MAY POSE SOME RISK
FOR DRY LIGHTNING IN THE EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
HIGH PLAINS. STRONG SURFACE WIND FIELDS MAY ALSO SUPPORT SOME RISK
FOR ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS DESPITE MORE MARGINAL HUMIDITY.
THE EASTERN EXTENT OF THE PROBABILITIES MAY BE ADJUSTED IN COMING
OUTLOOKS, BUT FOR NOW, UNCERTAINTY REMAINS TOO HIGH TO INTRODUCE
FIRE-WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS.
..LYONS.. 05/09/2023
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
READ MORE
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