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LU9DCE > ALERT 11.05.23 13:31z 398 Lines 16035 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 9624_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 11-MAY23
Path: HB9ON<IW0QNL<IZ3LSV<I0OJJ<LU4ECL<LU9DCE
Sent: 230511/1201Z 9624@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.23
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SPC - NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF THU MAY 11 08:45:01 UTC 2023
NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF THU MAY 11 08:45:01 UTC 2023.
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SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF THU MAY 11 08:45:02 UTC 2023
NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF THU MAY 11 08:45:02 UTC 2023.
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SPC MAY 11, 2023 0600 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 1200Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1233 AM CDT THU MAY 11 2023
VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST THURSDAY ACROSS THE CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN PLAINS, WHERE LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS. ISOLATED HAIL/DAMAGING
WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES.
...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS...
LATEST WATER-VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS A WELL-DEFINED UPPER LOW
BEGINNING TO EJECT NORTHEAST ACROSS NORTHWESTERN NM AS 500MB SPEED
MAX TRANSLATES THROUGH THE BASE OF THE TROUGH. THIS SPEED MAX IS
FORECAST TO PROGRESS INTO THE EASTERN TX PANHANDLE BY 18Z, THEN
GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT SHIFTS INTO NORTHWESTERN OK BY EARLY EVENING.
SUBSEQUENT WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THE
ASSOCIATED SHORT-WAVE TROUGH LIFTS INTO THE MID-MO VALLEY BY THE END
OF THE PERIOD. IN RESPONSE TO THIS FEATURE, LLJ SHOULD BE FOCUSED
ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS FROM NORTHWEST TX INTO WESTERN KS EARLY IN
THE PERIOD.
SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE CURRENTLY ONGOING AHEAD OF
THE TROUGH FROM THE NM/TX BORDER, NORTH INTO WESTERN KS. AS
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT SPREADS INTO THE HIGH PLAINS THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD
BE MAINTAINED TO SOME DEGREE, LIKELY CONTINUING INTO THE EARLY PART
OF THE DAY1 PERIOD. WITH MORE SIGNIFICANT HEIGHT FALLS FORECAST TO
SPREAD INTO THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS, SOUTHERN EXTENT OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD WEAKEN/DISSIPATE BY MID DAY WITH ONLY WEAK SHOWERS
AND ASSOCIATED CLOUD DEBRIS EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. OF POTENTIALLY MORE SIGNIFICANCE, COOLING
MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES AND STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL SPREAD ACROSS
EASTERN CO/WESTERN KS EARLY IN THE PERIOD. STRONG BOUNDARY-LAYER
HEATING IS EXPECTED TO CONTRIBUTE TO STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
ACROSS EASTERN NM INTO SOUTHWEST KS BY 18Z. AS A RESULT, RENEWED
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED FAIRLY EARLY IN THE PERIOD
WITHIN THE EXIT REGION OF THE AFOREMENTIONED MID-LEVEL JET.
SUPERCELLS SHOULD EVOLVE AND LIFT NORTH-NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS WITHIN A STRONGLY SHEARED AND MODESTLY UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT. HAIL, WIND, AND TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.
FARTHER SOUTHEAST, NEGLIGIBLE HEIGHT CHANGES WILL BE NOTED ACROSS
OK/NORTHWEST TX. AS A RESULT, STRONG SURFACE HEATING WILL PROVE
INSTRUMENTAL IN CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE DRYLINE BY LATE
AFTERNOON. IF EARLY-DAY CONVECTIVE DEBRIS IS NOT THAT APPRECIABLE,
SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO WARM INTO THE LOWER 90S ACROSS
NORTHWEST TX INTO EXTREME SOUTHWEST OK BY 22Z. CONVECTIVE
TEMPERATURES WILL BE BREACHED ALONG THE DRYLINE WITH THESE READINGS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP SOON THEREAFTER.
WHILE HIGH-LEVEL FLOW IS NOT FORECAST TO BE THAT STRONG, SURFACE-6KM
BULK SHEAR WILL BE STRONG AND 0-3KM SRH WILL BE NOTABLE (300 M2/S2),
ESPECIALLY BY EARLY EVENING ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR WHERE THE LLJ IS
EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN. NAM FORECAST SOUNDING FOR OKC AT 01Z
EXHIBITS 4100 J/KG MLCAPE WITH SIGNIFICANT VEERING WITH HEIGHT IN
THE LOWEST 5KM. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP NEAR THE DRYLINE SHOULD
ADVANCE NORTHEAST INTO AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR MAINTAINING
SUPERCELLS. VERY LARGE HAIL, SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND A TORNADO THREAT
WILL BE NOTED WITH THIS MORE ISOLATED ACTIVITY.
...GULF STATES...
LOW-LATITUDE TROUGH, CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY, IS
FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT ADVANCES INTO THE CENTRAL GULF
STATES. DESPITE EXPANSIVE CLOUDINESS AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE,
STRONGEST BOUNDARY-LAYER HEATING IS FORECAST ALONG THE FL GULF COAST
INTO EASTERN MS. SCATTERED ROBUST CONVECTION SHOULD EVOLVE AHEAD OF
THE TROUGH AND ISOLATED GUSTS/HAIL COULD BE NOTED WITH THE STRONGEST
STORMS.
..DARROW/BENTLEY.. 05/11/2023
READ MORE
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SPC MAY 11, 2023 0600 UTC DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0600Z DAY 2 OUTLOOK
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0100 AM CDT THU MAY 11 2023
VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
MID-MISSOURI VALLEY AREA AND VICINITY...AND FROM OKLAHOMA SOUTHWARD
TO THE RIO GRANDE...
...SUMMARY...
STRONG/SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN DURING THE AFTERNOON,
ACROSS A BROAD AREA EXTENDING FROM THE MID-MISSOURI VALLEY SOUTHWARD
TO THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
WILL LIKELY BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF
THE AREA INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, WHILE DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL,
AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES, WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MID MISSOURI
VALLEY AREA THROUGH THE EVENING.
...SYNOPSIS...
WEAK UPPER TROUGHING WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MUCH OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN
REGION AND INTO THE PLAINS STATES ON FRIDAY. WITHIN THE BROAD AREA
OF CYCLONIC FLOW, A WEAKENING LOW IS FORECAST TO DRIFT SLOWLY
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA, WHILE A SECOND CYCLONIC
DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO SHIFT NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN
MEXICO, AND INTO WESTERN TEXAS THROUGH THE SECOND HALF OF THE
PERIOD. ELSEWHERE, NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST, WITH RIDGING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND MIDWEST AND ALSO
ACROSS THE WEST COAST STATES.
AT THE SURFACE, A WEAK LOW WILL DRIFT ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA
BENEATH THE UPPER SYSTEM, WHILE AN ARCING, VERY SLOW-MOVING COLD
FRONT STRETCHES FROM EASTERN NEBRASKA INTO CENTRAL KANSAS AND
WESTERN OKLAHOMA, AND INTO THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
...MID-MISSOURI VALLEY AREA AND VICINITY...
A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING AT THE START OF THE PERIOD
ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEBRASKA NEAR THE WEAKENING UPPER LOW.
MODERATE TO STRONG AFTERNOON DESTABILIZATION ACROSS THE MID MISSOURI
VALLEY VICINITY WILL ALLOW ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT -- IN AN
ARCING MANNER EXTENDING EASTWARD/SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS NEBRASKA, AND
SOUTHWARD ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS, WITH COVERAGE DIMINISHING WITH
SOUTHWARD EXTENT.
WITH FLOW ALOFT SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED STORMS ACROSS THIS AREA,
THE GREATEST SUPERCELL POTENTIAL IS EVIDENT AT THIS TIME FROM
NORTHEASTERN NEBRASKA SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD NORTHEASTERN KANSAS
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON, AND THEN SPREADING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD
INTO WESTERN IOWA AND VICINITY DURING THE EVENING. ALONG WITH RISK
FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WITH STRONGER STORMS, A COUPLE
OF TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE GIVEN BACKED/SOUTHEASTERLY LOW-LEVEL
FLOW CONTRIBUTING TO AMPLE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR. RISK SHOULD GRADUALLY
DIMINISH INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
...OKLAHOMA TO THE RIO GRANDE...
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM THE CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA VICINITY SOUTHWESTWARD TO THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS, ALONG A
WEAK SURFACE BAROCLINIC ZONE, AS DAYTIME HEATING OF A MOIST
PRE-FRONTAL BOUNDARY LAYER YIELDS 3000 TO 4000 J/KG MIXED-LAYER CAPE
BY LATE AFTERNOON. WHILE ONLY MODEST SHEAR IS FORECAST TO BE
PRESENT, MID-LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLIES AROUND 25 KTS ATOP LOW-LEVEL
SOUTHEASTERLIES SHOULD RESULT IN SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR ROTATING
UPDRAFTS -- AND ATTENDANT RISK FOR VERY LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
AS THE WEAK UPPER LOW APPROACHES THE RIO GRANDE DURING THE
AFTERNOON, STORMS WILL ALSO INCREASE FROM THE TRANSPECOS REGION INTO
THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AREA WITH TIME. ALONG WIND THE FAVORABLY STRONG
CAPE, INCREASING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING UPPER
DISTURBANCE WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED/ROTATING STORMS -- WHICH APPEAR
LIKELY TO GROW UPSCALE INTO A LARGE MCS THROUGH THE EVENING AS A
LOW-LEVEL JET INCREASES NOCTURNALLY. VERY LARGE HAIL SHOULD BE THE
PRIMARY THREAT INITIALLY, BUT DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL WILL LIKELY
INCREASE INTO THE EVENING, AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS STORMS
EXPAND/PROGRESS EAST/SOUTHEAST WITH TIME.
..GOSS.. 05/11/2023
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SPC MAY 11, 2023 0730 UTC DAY 3 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
SPC 0730Z DAY 3 OUTLOOK
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0221 AM CDT THU MAY 11 2023
VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE IOWA VICINITY...AND ACROSS THE SOUTH TEXAS AREA...
...SUMMARY...
A FEW SEVERE STORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF IOWA AND
VICINITY, AND DIMINISHING IN COVERAGE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE LOWER
OHIO VALLEY. SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS ARE ALSO FORECAST ACROSS PARTS
OF SOUTH TEXAS, WITH ISOLATED RISK ACROSS A BROADER PORTION OF THE
CENTRAL PLAINS.
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL BLOCKING PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO EVOLVE ACROSS
WESTERN NORTH AMERICA SATURDAY, AS A BROAD/WEAK UPPER LOW OVER THE
WEST RETROGRADES WESTWARD, SHUNTING THE WESTERN U.S. RIDGE NORTHWARD
INTO WESTERN CANADA. MEANWHILE, CYCLONIC NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT
WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE NORTHEAST.
ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S., A PAIR OF WEAKENING UPPER LOWS WILL
CONTINUE TO FILL -- ONE DRIFTING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS NEBRASKA
AND SOUTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA, AND THE OTHER MOVING SLOWLY
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS WESTERN TEXAS AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO.
AT THE SURFACE, A BACKDOOR-TYPE COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM NEBRASKA
EASTWARD ACROSS THE MIDWEST TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WILL SAG
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY, WHILE LINGERING OVER THE
MID-MISSOURI THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.
...SOUTHERN PLAINS...
AS THE REMNANT UPPER LOW DRIFTS ACROSS WEST TEXAS, ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST ACROSS PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS.
WITH ENHANCED SOUTHERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW PERSISTING ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS EAST OF THE WEAKENING LOW, SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT
TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED STORMS, AND ATTENDANT THREAT FOR HAIL/WIND
LOCALLY.
THE GREATER SEVERE RISK APPEARS LIKELY TO RESIDE OVER SOUTH TEXAS.
HERE, ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED, BENEATH
SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLIES AT MID LEVELS. WHILE QUESTIONS EXIST
REGARDING LOCATION OF EARLY-DAY/ONGOING CONVECTION, AT LEAST SOME
HEATING IS FORECAST ACROSS THE AREA -- RESULTING IN AMPLE AFTERNOON
DESTABILIZATION. AT THIS TIME, IS APPEARS THE
REDEVELOPMENT/REINTENSIFICATION OF CONVECTION WILL OCCUR DURING THE
AFTERNOON, AND SHIFT EASTWARD/SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE STATE THROUGH THE EVENING AND POSSIBLY OVERNIGHT.
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL ARE EXPECTED, WITH A COUPLE OF TORNADOES
ALSO POSSIBLE GIVEN THE AMPLY STRONG/FAVORABLY VEERING FLOW WITH
HEIGHT.
...IOWA VICINITY INTO THE MIDWEST...
AS THE NEBRASKA UPPER LOW WEAKENS WHILE DRIFTING EASTWARD, A SMALL
AREA OF STILL-FAVORABLE SHEAR IS FORECAST ACROSS THE IOWA VICINITY
-- PARTICULARLY NEAR A WEAK SURFACE FRONT PROGGED TO LIE
NORTHWEST-TO-SOUTHEAST ACROSS THIS AREA. LOW-LEVEL SOUTHEASTERLIES
NEAR AND TO THE COOL SIDE OF THE FRONT BENEATH REMNANT/ENHANCED
MID-LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLIES WILL RESULT IN SHEAR FAVORABLE FOR
ROTATING UPDRAFTS. GIVEN AMPLE AFTERNOON DESTABILIZATION FORECAST
NEAR THE BOUNDARY, A FEW SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO EVOLVE,
POSSIBLY EXTENDING IN A MORE ISOLATED MANNER SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS
ILLINOIS AND THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY AREA. ALONG WITH POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WITH A FEW OF THE STRONGER CELLS, A
TORNADO OR TWO WOULD ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF IOWA NEAR
THE FRONT.
..GOSS.. 05/11/2023
READ MORE
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SPC MAY 11, 2023 DAY 4-8 SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
DAY 4-8 OUTLOOK
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0342 AM CDT THU MAY 11 2023
VALID 141200Z - 191200Z
...DISCUSSION...
GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT RIDGING WILL PREVAIL OVER
THE WESTERN U.S. THROUGH THE MEDIUM-RANGE PERIOD. AS A RESULT, A
GRADUAL EXPANSION OF EASTERN U.S. TROUGHING/CYCLONIC FLOW IS
PROJECTED.
AS THIS OCCURS, A CANADIAN COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO SAG SOUTHWARD
ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY, GRADUALLY SUPPRESSING HIGHER
THETA-E LOW-LEVEL AIR SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD. AS THIS FRONT
ADVANCES, BENEATH THE SOUTHERN FRINGE OF STRONGER FLOW ALOFT,
LOCAL/LIMITED SEVERE WEATHER WILL LIKELY OCCUR, PEAKING DIURNALLY
EACH DAY. HOWEVER, THE COMBINATION OF MODEL DIFFERENCES WITH
RESPECT TO THE TIMING/LOCATION OF THE SAGGING BAROCLINIC ZONE, AND
THIS OVERALL PATTERN EVOLUTION NOT PARTICULARLY CONDUCIVE FOR
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER, PRECLUDES ANY INCLUSION OF RISK AREAS
THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK.
READ MORE
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SPC DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
SPC DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0111 AM CDT THU MAY 11 2023
VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
...SYNOPSIS...
WITH THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH SHIFTING EASTWARD, STRONG FLOW ALOFT
SHOULD LINGER OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS.
AT THE SURFACE, A LEE LOW WILL BE STATIONED OVER THE TX PANHANDLE
WITH A DRYLINE TRAILING SOUTH. DOWNSLOPE FLOW AND LOW HUMIDITY ARE
EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF EASTERN NM AND THE WESTERN TX PANHANDLE.
ELEVATED TO LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS APPEAR
POSSIBLE.
...PORTIONS OF NM AND THE WESTERN TX PANHANDLE...
WITH THE BELT OF STRONGER FLOW ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE TROUGH LYING
OVERHEAD, WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS ARE LIKELY TO INCREASE EARLY IN THE
DAY ACROSS CENTRAL NM AS DIURNAL HEATING BEGINS. AIDED BY THE
DOWNSLOPE PRESSURE GRADIENT BEHIND THE SURFACE LOW AND DRYLINE,
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 20 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS. THE
DOWNSLOPE TRAJECTORIES AND WARMING TEMPERATURES SHOULD ALLOW FOR RH
VALUES TO DROP BELOW 15% OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN NM. GIVEN
DRY FUELS, ELEVATED TO LOCALLY CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE.
THERE REMAINS SOME QUESTIONS ON THE AVAILABILITY OF AREA FUELS
FARTHER EAST OVER PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN TX PANHANDLE GIVEN
OVERNIGHT RAINFALL. WHILE FUELS ARE LIKELY TO BE MIXED IN
RECEPTIVENESS, SOME MODEL SOLUTIONS DO SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR A
FEW HOURS OF LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE TX
PANHANDLE BEHIND THE DRYLINE. SHOULD THIS OCCUR, THE ELEVATED AREA
MAY BE EXTENDED EASTWARD, THOUGH UNCERTAINTY IS HIGH.
..LYONS.. 05/11/2023
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
READ MORE
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SPC DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
SPC DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0112 AM CDT THU MAY 11 2023
VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS IS FORECAST TO
CONTINUE TO DRIFT NORTHEASTWARD AND SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH FRIDAY.
TRIALING THE SURFACE LOW, A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST USHERING IN A COOLER AND MORE MOIST AIR MASS ACROSS THE
ROCKIES AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION IS ALSO
EXPECTED STARTING FRIDAY ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS POTENTIALLY LIMITING
AREA FUELS. WITH WINDS ALOFT WEAKENING, INCREASING RH, AND MORE
LIMITED FUELS, WIDESPREAD FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED.
..LYONS.. 05/11/2023
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
READ MORE
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