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LU9DCE > ALERT 03.09.23 06:46z 69 Lines 2385 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 6236_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 03-SEP23
Path: HB9ON<IW0QNL<VE2PKT<W0ARP<LU9DCE
Sent: 230903/0630Z 6236@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
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PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
PHP SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
COPYRIGHT 2023 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
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SPC - NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF SUN SEP 3 01:29:01 UTC 2023
NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF SUN SEP 3 01:29:01 UTC 2023.
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SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF SUN SEP 3 01:29:01 UTC 2023
NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF SUN SEP 3 01:29:01 UTC 2023.
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SPC SEP 3, 2023 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0732 PM CDT SAT SEP 02 2023
VALID 030100Z - 031200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TONIGHT.
...01Z UPDATE...
UPPER LOW HAS SETTLED SOUTH ALONG THE NORTHERN CA COAST EARLY THIS
EVENING. WHILE HEIGHTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO CHANGE APPRECIABLY INLAND
OVERNIGHT, SEASONALLY STRONG 500MB FLOW DOES EXTEND ACROSS CENTRAL
CA INTO WESTERN NV. 00Z SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN DO NOT
EXHIBIT SIGNIFICANT INSTABILITY, ESPECIALLY THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN
WHERE MUCAPE IS GENERALLY ON THE ORDER OF 500 J/KG. HOWEVER,
BUOYANCY IS A BIT HIGHER ACROSS THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY WHERE
INSTABILITY IS APPROACHING 2000 J/KG NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER.
00Z SOUNDING AT VEF EXHIBITED AROUND 1200 J/KG MUCAPE, BUT INTERIOR
LAPSE RATES ARE GENERALLY MUCH WEAKER THAN NORMAL FOR THIS PART OF
THE COUNTRY. AS A RESULT, MOST CONVECTION HAS STRUGGLED WITH
INTENSITY, THOUGH SOME ORGANIZATION HAS BEEN NOTED BENEATH THE
STRONGER MID-LEVEL FLOW OVER NORTHERN NV. WHILE AN ISOLATED WIND
GUST, OR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL, COULD ACCOMPANY THE MOST ROBUST
UPDRAFTS, OVERALL SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TOO LOW TO WARRANT SEVERE
PROBABILITIES TONIGHT.
..DARROW.. 09/03/2023
READ MORE
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