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LU9DCE > ALERT 13.10.23 07:52z 94 Lines 2980 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 8681_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 13-OCT23
Path: HB9ON<IW0QNL<ON0AR<GB7CIP<VE3KPG<VA3TOK<LU9DCE
Sent: 231013/0730Z 8681@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
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PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
PHP SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
COPYRIGHT 2023 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
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SPC - NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF FRI OCT 13 02:52:01 UTC 2023
NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF FRI OCT 13 02:52:01 UTC 2023.
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SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF FRI OCT 13 02:52:01 UTC 2023
NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF FRI OCT 13 02:52:01 UTC 2023.
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SPC OCT 13, 2023 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0748 PM CDT THU OCT 12 2023
VALID 130100Z - 131200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY FROM
EASTERN NEBRASKA AND KANSAS INTO WESTERN IOWA AND NORTHWEST
MISSOURI...
...SUMMARY...
A FEW SEVERE STORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS EVENING MAINLY OVER PARTS
OF EASTERN NEBRASKA.
...CENTRAL PLAINS...
AN UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY EAST ACROSS NE THROUGH
TONIGHT, WITH A 70-80 KT MIDLEVEL JET PUSHING EAST INTO IA AND
NORTHERN MO. AT THE SURFACE, LOW PRESSURE WILL FILL AS IT MOVES EAST
ACROSS THE SAME AREAS. STORMS HAVE GENERALLY DECREASED IN INTENSITY
THIS EVENING DUE TO THE COOLING AIR MASS, EXCEPT FOR FARTHER SOUTH
INTO EAST-CENTRAL KS IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE SURFACE WARM PLUME.
00Z SOUNDINGS DOWNSTREAM INDICATE MINIMAL INSTABILITY OVERALL, WITH
LITTLE ADDITIONAL DESTABILIZATION EXPECTED AS A COOLING BOUNDARY
LAYER COUNTERACTS ANY COOLING ALOFT. SHEAR WILL REMAIN STRONG OVER
NORTHERN AREAS, BUT WANING INSTABILITY SHOULD LIMIT THE OVERALL
SEVERE RISK. AS SUCH, A MARGINAL RISK WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA FOR
SPORADIC HAIL IN THE STRONGER CELLS.
..JEWELL.. 10/13/2023
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SPC DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
SPC DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0946 PM CDT THU OCT 12 2023
VALID 151200Z - 211200Z
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE PLAINS STATES INTO THE SOUTHERN U.S.,
REINFORCED BY A NORTHWESTERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW REGIME THROUGH THE
EXTENDED PERIOD. WHILE LOW-LEVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE RELATIVELY DRY,
WEAKER SURFACE WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES ATOP MARGINALLY
RECEPTIVE FUELS SHOULD LIMIT SIGNIFICANT WILDFIRE-SPREAD CONCERNS.
..SQUITIERI.. 10/13/2023
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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