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LU9DCE > ALERT 19.10.23 16:34z 69 Lines 2302 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 8966_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 19-OCT23
Path: HB9ON<IW0QNL<IZ3LSV<I0OJJ<IR0AAB<PI8ZTM<PI8LAP<PA8F<VE3CGR<KE0GB<
W0ARP<LU9DCE
Sent: 231019/0731Z 8966@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
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PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
PHP SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
COPYRIGHT 2023 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
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SPC - NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF THU OCT 19 02:19:01 UTC 2023
NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF THU OCT 19 02:19:01 UTC 2023.
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SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF THU OCT 19 02:19:01 UTC 2023
NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF THU OCT 19 02:19:01 UTC 2023.
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SPC OCT 19, 2023 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0733 PM CDT WED OCT 18 2023
VALID 190100Z - 191200Z
...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
THE RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS APPEARS NEGLIGIBLE ACROSS THE U.S.
THROUGH TONIGHT.
...01Z UPDATE...
CONVECTION, BENEATH THE MID-LEVEL COLD CORE OF THE LOW DIGGING TO
THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE MID MISSOURI VALLEY, BRIEFLY PRODUCED SOME
LIGHTNING DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON NEAR THE WESTERN MINNESOTA/IOWA
BORDER VICINITY. HOWEVER, THIS APPEARED LARGELY SUPPORTED BY
DESTABILIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH INSOLATION, AND HAS DIMINISHED WITH
THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.
MORE RECENTLY, SOME LIGHTNING HAS BEEN NOTED WITHIN THE CONVECTIVE
BAND AHEAD OF THE TRAILING SHORT WAVE TROUGH, ALONG AN ASSOCIATED
WEAK SOUTHEASTWARD ADVANCING COLD FRONT, TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OF
SPRINGFIELD MO. WHILE THIS CONVECTIVE BAND COULD GENERATE
ADDITIONAL LIGHTNING AS IT SPREADS EASTWARD ACROSS THE MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI/LOWER OHIO VALLEYS OVERNIGHT, IT APPEARS THAT THIS WILL
BE RATHER SPORADIC AND SPARSE, WITH DESTABILIZATION FORECAST TO
REMAIN LIMITED BY ONLY MODEST STEEPENING OF MID/UPPER LAPSE RATES
AND WEAK BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE RETURN.
..KERR.. 10/19/2023
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