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LU9DCE > ALERT 04.11.23 10:07z 71 Lines 2294 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 9902_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 04-NOV23
Path: HB9ON<IW0QNL<IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<DK0WUE<GB7CIP<VE3KPG<N9PMO<GB7YEW<LU9DCE
Sent: 231104/0801Z 9902@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
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PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
PHP SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
COPYRIGHT 2023 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
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SPC - NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF SAT NOV 4 01:59:02 UTC 2023
NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF SAT NOV 4 01:59:02 UTC 2023.
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SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF SAT NOV 4 01:59:02 UTC 2023
NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF SAT NOV 4 01:59:02 UTC 2023.
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SPC NOV 4, 2023 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0729 PM CDT FRI NOV 03 2023
VALID 040100Z - 041200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
A COUPLE OF AREAS WILL EXPERIENCE ISOLATED, VERY WEAK CONVECTION
TONIGHT.
...01Z UPDATE...
NO CHANGES TO PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH ONLY A COUPLE OF AREAS OF VERY
WEAK CONVECTION EXPECTED.
ONE AREA WHERE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE NOTED IS ACROSS THE
HIGH PLAINS FROM SOUTHEAST WY INTO CENTRAL NE. SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS A DIGGING SHORT-WAVE TROUGH THAT WILL INFLUENCE THIS REGION
LATER THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT. 00Z SOUNDING FROM UNR EXHIBITS STEEP
LAPSE RATES BUT ONLY MEAGER MOISTURE. LIFTING A NEAR-SURFACE-BASED
PARCEL, IT'S WEAKLY BUOYANT THROUGH THE 500MB LAYER WHERE
TEMPERATURES ARE LESS THAN -20C. THIS MAY PROVE ADEQUATE FOR A FEW
FLASHES OF LIGHTNING WITH CONVECTION OVERNIGHT.
ACROSS EXTREME SOUTH FL, PW VALUES SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH
THE NIGHT AHEAD OF A WEAK SHORT-WAVE TROUGH THAT WILL APPROACH THE
PENINSULA BY DAYBREAK. ALTHOUGH LAPSE RATES WILL REMAIN POOR, WEAK
WARM ADVECTION AND VERY MOIST PROFILES SUGGEST SOME RISK LIGHTING
WITHIN THIS WEAK WARM-ADVECTION REGIME.
..DARROW.. 11/04/2023
READ MORE
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