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LU9DCE > ALERT 26.11.23 08:42z 71 Lines 2399 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 2731_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 26-NOV23
Path: HB9ON<IW0QNL<VE2PKT<W0ARP<LU9DCE
Sent: 231126/0800Z 2731@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
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PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
PHP SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
COPYRIGHT 2023 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
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SPC - NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF SUN NOV 26 00:54:02 UTC 2023
NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF SUN NOV 26 00:54:02 UTC 2023.
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SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF SUN NOV 26 00:54:02 UTC 2023
NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF SUN NOV 26 00:54:02 UTC 2023.
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SPC NOV 26, 2023 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0649 PM CST SAT NOV 25 2023
VALID 260100Z - 261200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
THE RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS APPEARS NEGLIGIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE U.S.
TONIGHT.
...01Z DISCUSSION...
DESPITE MODEST ONGOING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN ACROSS THE TEXAS
COAST INTO THE SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS, DESTABILIZATION HAS REMAINED
NEGLIGIBLE DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF RELATIVELY WARM LAYERS ALOFT WITH
WEAK LAPSE RATES. WITH STRONGER MID/UPPER SUPPORT FOR UPWARD
VERTICAL MOTION (ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORT WAVE TROUGH ACCELERATING
EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES) GENERALLY SHIFTING ACROSS
THE CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS TOWARD THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY,
LITTLE CHANGE APPEARS LIKELY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS FORECAST
PERIOD.
UNCERTAINTY LINGERS CONCERNING THE RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS CLOSER TO
NORTHWESTERN GULF COASTAL AREAS, NEAR/SOUTH OF AN INTENSIFYING
SUBTROPICAL JET AXIS. HOWEVER, BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS, INCLUDING
THE LACK OF MORE APPRECIABLE BOUNDARY-LAYER DESTABILIZATION ACROSS
THE NORTHWESTERN/NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO TO THIS POINT, THE
RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS MAY REMAIN GENERALLY NEGLIGIBLE ACROSS ALL
BUT, PERHAPS, AREAS NEAR/SOUTH OF LOUISIANA COASTAL AREAS THROUGH
12Z SUNDAY.
..KERR.. 11/26/2023
READ MORE
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