| |
LU9DCE > NEWS 22.08.26 16:29z 388 Lines 16132 Bytes #194 (0) @ WW
BID : 20530_LU9DCE
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 22-AUG
Path: HB9ON<IK7NXU<IK6IHL<IZ3LSV<IR1UAW<IR1UAW<IW2OHX<GB7OSW<VE3CGR<LU9DCE
Sent: 260822/1615Z 20530@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
__ _ _ ___ ____ ___ ____ ____ ____ ____
( ) / )( \/ _ \( \ / __)( __) ( _ \( _ \/ ___)
/ (_/\) \/ (\__ )) D (( (__ ) _) ) _ ( ) _ (\___ \
\____/\____/(___/(____/ \___)(____) (____/(____/(____/
PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
PYTHON SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
COPYRIGHT 2026 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
SPC - NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF SAT AUG 22 07:46:02 UTC 2026
NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF SAT AUG 22 07:46:02 UTC 2026.
========================================
SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF SAT AUG 22 07:46:02 UTC 2026
NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF SAT AUG 22 07:46:02 UTC
2026.
========================================
SPC AUG 22, 2026 0600 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 1200Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0101 AM CDT SAT AUG 22 2026
VALID 221200Z - 231200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY...
...SUMMARY...
SCATTERED DAMAGING GUSTS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY WITH MORE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL EXTENDING WESTWARD INTO THE MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.
ISOLATED HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVER THE FRONT
RANGE, GREAT BASIN AND PARTS OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES.
...OH AND TN VALLEYS...
AN UPPER LOW INITIALLY OVER THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES IS FORECAST TO
DEEPEN AS IT MOVES SOUTHEASTWARD TODAY AND TONIGHT. A BELT OF
STRONGER MID-LEVEL FLOW BEHIND THE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO PARTS OF
THE PLAINS AND MIDWEST. A WEAK SURFACE LOW AND TRAILING COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE LAKES AND INTO THE UPPER OH
VALLEY THROUGH THE DAY. AHEAD OF THE FRONT, UPPER 60S TO 70S F
SURFACE DEWPOINTS AND FILTERED DIURNAL HEATING SHOULD ALLOW FOR
MODERATE DESTABILIZATION, SUFFICIENT FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS BY EARLY AFTERNOON. DESPITE GENERALLY MODEST TO WEAK
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR, STEEPENING OF LOWER/MID-LEVEL LAPSE WILL SUPPORT
STRONGER DOWNDRAFTS WITHIN ORGANIZED MULTICELL CLUSTERS. WITH TIME,
SOME UPSCALE GROWTH INTO LINEAR SEGMENTS IS ALSO POSSIBLE AND WOULD
ALSO FAVOR A RISK FOR SCATTERED DAMAGING GUSTS. THIS APPEARS MOST
LIKELY ACROSS CENTRAL/EASTERN OH AND KY INTO WESTERN PA/WV.
FARTHER SOUTH, MORE ISOLATED STORM COVERAGE IS EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE
FRONT FROM THE WESTERN CAROLINA PIEDMONT TO THE TN VALLEY. STEEP
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND ENHANCED LOW AND MID-LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW WILL STILL SUPPORT SOME RISK FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING GUSTS.
...OZARKS/MID MS VALLEY...
A WEAK CONVECTIVELY AUGMENTED SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE
FROM SOUTHEASTERN KS AND SOUTHERN MO INTO NORTHERN AR ALONG WESTERN
PORTIONS OF A WEAK SURFACE FRONT BY MIDDAY. AHEAD OF THESE FEATURES,
A VERY WARM AND HUMID AIR MASS WILL BE IN PLACE, WHICH SHOULD ALLOW
SUBSTANTIAL DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION AND EVENTUAL THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT. ENHANCED NORTHWESTERLY FLOW MAY HELP ORGANIZE A FEW
THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS AS THEY SPREAD EASTWARD FROM THE OZARKS INTO
THE ARKLATEX AND MID MS VALLEY. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND SOME HAIL
ARE POSSIBLE.
...FRONT RANGE AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS...
POST-FRONTAL UPSLOPE FLOW, AIDED BY A WEAK SHORT WAVE IMPULSE ON THE
EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER RIDGE WILL SUPPORT THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT ALONG/EAST OF THE LARAMIE MOUNTAINS THROUGH COLORADO
FRONT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON. ON THE FRINGES OF THE STRONGER NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT, DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL BE MARGINAL FOR STORM
ORGANIZATION. STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MODERATE BUOYANCY
COULD SUPPORT SOME HAIL WITH THE STRONGER UPDRAFTS. ISOLATED
DAMAGING GUSTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY WITH ANY MORE
PERSISTENT THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS.
...SOUTHERN PLAINS...
VERY HOT SURFACE TEMPERATURES (100+ F) ARE LIKELY ACROSS PARTS OF
WESTERN NORTH TX INTO SOUTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL OK THIS AFTERNOON.
LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE NEAR A THERMALLY ENHANCED SURFACE LOW AND WEAK
FRONT WILL AID HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATE AFTERNOON
INTO THE EARLY EVENING. WEAK BUOYANCY ATOP THE STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND DEEP MIXED LAYER WILL FAVOR VERY STRONG DOWNDRAFTS WITHIN
THE HIGH-BASED STORMS. ISOLATED SEVERE GUSTS (POSSIBLY 65-75 MPH
GUSTS) ASSOCIATED WITH MICROBURSTS ARE POSSIBLE AS CONVECTION IS
FORECAST TO MOVE SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE EVENING.
...NORTHERN ROCKIES TO THE GREAT BASIN....
AN UPPER LOW ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBSTANTIAL
MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWEST WILL MIGRATE NORTHWARD TOWARD THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER AS A BELT OF STRONGER MID-LEVEL FLOW
OVERSPREADS A PLUME OF MONSOON MOISTURE FROM THE GREAT BASIN TO THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES. ASCENT FROM THE UPPER WAVE AND HEATING OF THE
MODESTLY MOIST AIR MASS SHOULD ALLOW FOR WEAK DESTABILIZATION AND
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. STEEP LAPSE RATES COULD SUPPORT
ISOLATED SEVERE GUSTS.
ISOLATED HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FROM
EASTERN WA INTO THE ID PANHANDLE. CLOSER TO THE UPPER TROUGH AND
BENEATH STRONG MID-LEVEL FLOW, ELONGATED HODOGRAPHS MAY PROMOTE
ORGANIZATION WITH TRANSIENT SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. COOLER MID-LEVEL
TEMPERATURES COULD FAVOR HAIL PRODUCTION DESPITE MODEST OVERALL
MOISTURE.
..LYONS/WEINMAN.. 08/22/2026
READ MORE
========================================
SPC AUG 22, 2026 0600 UTC DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0600Z DAY 2 OUTLOOK
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1257 AM CDT SAT AUG 22 2026
VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
EASTERN GREAT LAKES INTO THE NORTHEAST...THE NORTHERN PLAINS...AND
MONTANA....
...SUMMARY...
STRONG THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY POSING AT LEAST SOME RISK FOR SEVERE
HAIL AND WIND APPEARS POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
AND GREAT PLAINS, AND ACROSS PARTS OF THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES TO THE
NORTHEAST, SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.
...MONTANA...
A DEAMPLIFYING MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE FROM THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST INTO EASTERN BRITISH COLUMBIA ON SUNDAY. AS THIS OCCURS, A
LEE CYCLONE ACROSS MONTANA WILL ADVECT MOISTURE NORTHWESTWARD INTO
CENTRAL MONTANA WITH SOME 60F DEWPOINTS EXPECTED. MODERATE MID-LEVEL
FLOW ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS MID-LEVEL TROUGH WILL
OVERSPREAD A WEAK TO MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS MONTANA. THE
MAJORITY OF THE FORCING WILL BE FARTHER NORTH ACROSS CANADA,
HOWEVER, WEAK HEIGHT FALLS AND TERRAIN DRIVEN CIRCULATIONS SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENT ENOUGH FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT BY MID-AFTERNOON ACROSS
CENTRAL MONTANA. 30 TO 35 KNOTS OF SHEAR SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR
STORM ORGANIZATION INCLUDING SOME SUPERCELL POTENTIAL. IN ADDITION,
STRONG HEATING WILL RESULT IN STEEP LAPSE RATES AND AN ENVIRONMENT
SUPPORTING DAMAGING WINDS.
...DAKOTAS...
MODERATE TO POTENTIALLY STRONG INSTABILITY IS FORECAST ACROSS
CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA AND VICINITY ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON, SOUTHWEST OF
A FRONTAL ZONE. PERSISTENT SOUTHWESTERLY 1KM FLOW IS EXPECTED FOR
MUCH OF THE DAY. ISENTROPIC ASCENT WITHIN THIS ZONE WILL SUPPORT THE
POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR MUCH OF THE DAY. THUNDERSTORM
COVERAGE/INTENSITY MAY INCREASE AS A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH
APPROACHES THE REGION DURING THE AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION, THE
LOW-LEVEL JET IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN DURING THE EVENING WHICH
WILL RESULT IN MORE WIDESPREAD STORM DEVELOPMENT. THE ENVIRONMENT,
FEATURING MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY AND 35-45 KTS OF EFFECTIVE
SHEAR, WITHIN A ZONE OF MODERATE FORCING, MAY RESULT IN SOME STRONG
STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND SEVERE WIND GUSTS.
...EASTERN GREAT LAKES INTO THE NORTHEAST...
A STRONG MID-LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES WILL BECOME A
CLOSED UPPER LOW ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO ON SUNDAY. AN INDIVIDUAL
MID-LEVEL TROUGH REVOLVING AROUND THE PRIMARY TROUGH WILL BECOME
NEGATIVELY TILTED AS IT PIVOTS THROUGH THE NORTHEAST. A SECONDARY
MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL DIG INTO THE WESTERN PORTION OF THIS
TROUGH AND EMERGE AROUND THE BASE OF THE TROUGH LATE SUNDAY EVENING.
THESE FEATURES AMID THE DEEPENING UPPER LOW WILL RESULT IN
PERSISTENT ASCENT ACROSS THE REGION WHERE WEAK INSTABILITY WILL ALSO
BE PRESENT. SHEAR MAY BE RELATIVELY WEAK (20 TO 25 KNOTS), WHICH MAY
LIMIT OVERALL STORM ORGANIZATION. HOWEVER, THE COOL TEMPERATURES
ALOFT SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS.
...ARKANSAS AND VICINITY...
MOST GUIDANCE SHOWS A MODERATE LOW-LEVEL JET AND ISENTROPIC ASCENT
ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND INTO ARKANSAS LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND
EARLY MONDAY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS, OTHER THAN THE HIRES NAM, SHOW
RELATIVELY MEAGER INSTABILITY. THEREFORE, WHILE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
LIKELY ALONG THIS ZONE GIVEN THE STRONG FORCING, SEVERE STORMS MAY
STRUGGLE AMID RELATIVELY WEAK INSTABILITY. THEREFORE, NO
PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN ADDED AT THIS TIME.
..BENTLEY.. 08/22/2026
READ MORE
========================================
SPC AUG 22, 2026 0730 UTC DAY 3 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
SPC 0730Z DAY 3 OUTLOOK
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0151 AM CDT SAT AUG 22 2026
VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF
THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS....
...SUMMARY...
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND SEVERE WIND GUSTS
ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE NORTHERN TO CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS ON MONDAY.
...CENTRAL TO THE NORTHERN PLAINS...
THE STRONG RIDGE WHICH HAS BEEN PRESENT FOR MUCH OF THE LAST 3 WEEKS
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND THE HIGH PLAINS.
HOWEVER, THE NORTHERN EXTENT OF THIS RIDGE WILL BE FLATTENED WITH A
FRONTAL ZONE EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS. MODERATE INSTABILITY IS FORECAST ALONG THIS FRONTAL
ZONE WHERE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS ARE EXPECTED ON MONDAY. THE
STRONGEST SHEAR IS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTH DAKOTA INTO MINNESOTA WHERE
A 40 KNOT JET STREAK WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION. ISOLATED STORMS MAY
FORM ALONG THE FRONT IN THIS REGION DURING THE DAY, BUT THE BETTER
SIGNAL FOR STORMS IS DURING THE EVENING WHEN A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE
TROUGH APPROACHES THE REGION FROM SOUTHERN CANADA.
THE GREATER DIURNAL STORM COVERAGE IS ANTICIPATED IN THE NEBRASKA
PANHANDLE AND INTO SOUTHWEST SOUTH DAKOTA. HOWEVER, THE WEAKER SHEAR
ACROSS THIS REGION MAY RESULT IN ONLY MARGINALLY ORGANIZED STORMS.
THEREFORE, A FEW SEVERE WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE AND THUS THE
MARGINAL IS WARRANTED, BUT THE RELATIVELY UNORGANIZED STORM MODE
PRECLUDES HIGHER SEVERE WEATHER PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME.
..BENTLEY.. 08/22/2026
READ MORE
========================================
SPC AUG 22, 2026 DAY 4-8 SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
DAY 4-8 OUTLOOK
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0242 AM CDT SAT AUG 22 2026
VALID 251200Z - 301200Z
...DISCUSSION...
OVERALL, THE LONG RANGE PATTERN WILL FEATURE A RIDGE CENTERED OVER
THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS WHICH MAY SHIFT SLIGHTLY WEST THROUGH THE
PERIOD. SOME SEVERE WEATHER MAY OCCUR WITHIN THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
PATTERN FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS TO THE OHIO VALLEY TUESDAY/D4 TO
THURSDAY/D6, BUT CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH FOR PROBABILITIES AT
THIS TIME. THERE IS AN EMERGING SIGNAL FOR A SEASONABLY STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE TO BUILD INTO THE EASTERN CONUS AND SHUNT MOST OF THE
RICHER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE TO THE GULF COAST STATES. IF THIS OCCURS,
A RELATIVE LULL IN SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WOULD EXIST FROM THE
MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST TO THE UPPER MIDWEST INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
READ MORE
========================================
SPC DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
SPC DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0200 AM CDT SAT AUG 22 2026
VALID 221200Z - 231200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN WASHINGTON AND
THE FAR NORTHERN IDAHO PANHANDLE...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST WASHINGTON AND FAR NORTH-CENTRAL OREGON...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...NORTHWEST NEVADA...AND SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST
OREGON...
...SYNOPSIS...
ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF AN EXPANSIVE UPPER RIDGE
CENTERED ON THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ROCKIES, A ROBUST MIDLEVEL TROUGH
AND ACCOMPANYING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY JET STREAK WILL OVERSPREAD THE
NORTHWEST THROUGH THE PERIOD.
...DRY THUNDERSTORMS - NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND NORTHERN
ROCKIES...
THE 00Z OBSERVED SOUNDINGS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL GREAT BASIN
SHOW AMPLE MIDLEVEL MOISTURE, WHICH WILL CONTINUE SPREADING
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND NORTHERN
ROCKIES TODAY. DIURNAL HEATING/BOUNDARY-LAYER MIXING BENEATH THE
MOIST PLUME WILL YIELD A BROAD AREA OF WEAK INSTABILITY BY THIS
AFTERNOON -- CHARACTERIZED BY INVERTED-V THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES. AS
MIDLEVEL HEIGHT FALLS/FORCING FOR ASCENT PRECEDING THE MIDLEVEL
TROUGH OVERSPREAD THIS INSTABILITY, ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
FAST-MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WILL TRACK NORTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF HIGH-BASED STORMS IS EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS
OF NORTHERN WA INTO THE NORTHERN ID PANHANDLE, WHERE FORCING FOR
ASCENT WILL BE STRONGEST. WHILE A MIX OF WET/DRY STORMS IS POSSIBLE,
THE FAST STORM MOTIONS AND DRY BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD LIMIT RAINFALL
AMOUNTS. GIVEN VERY RECEPTIVE FUELS, THE RISK OF LIGHTNING-INDUCED
IGNITIONS WILL BE MAXIMIZED HERE. ADDITIONALLY, ENHANCED DEEP-LAYER
WIND SHEAR RELATED TO THE UPPER-LEVEL JET WILL PROMOTE SOME
STRONG-SEVERE STORM CLUSTERS, CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SEVERE WIND GUSTS
AND HAIL. SEE THE SPC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK FOR MORE DETAILS ON
THE SEVERE RISK.
...DRY/WINDY CONDITIONS - NORTHERN/CENTRAL INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...
THE STRONG DEEP-LAYER SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ACCOMPANYING THE
MIDLEVEL TROUGH WILL RESULT IN STRONG DOWNSLOPE FLOW OFF THE
CASCADES AND NORTHERN SIERRA. THIS WILL RESULT IN A BROAD AREA OF
15-20 PERCENT AFTERNOON RH AND 15-25 MPH SUSTAINED
WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN TERRAIN-FAVORED AREAS, SUCH AS THE COLUMBIA BASIN AND IN THE
LEE OF THE SOUTHERN CASCADES -- WHERE DRY/RECEPTIVE FUELS WILL
SUPPORT CRITICAL FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
..WEINMAN.. 08/22/2026
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
READ MORE
========================================
SPC DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
SPC DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0201 AM CDT SAT AUG 22 2026
VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
...SYNOPSIS...
A MIDLEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST AND
NORTHERN ROCKIES DURING THE DAY -- WHERE AMPLE MIDLEVEL MOISTURE
WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ATOP A DIURNALLY DEEPENING BOUNDARY LAYER.
RELATED FORCING FOR ASCENT PRECEDING THE TROUGH WILL PROMOTE
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED FAST-MOVING THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS
OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND NORTHWEST DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. GIVEN 0.7-0.9 INCH PW, A DRY/WELL-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER, AND
FAST STORM MOTIONS, A MIX OF WET/DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL POSE A RISK
OF LIGHTNING-INDUCED IGNITIONS AND GUSTY/ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS ATOP
RECEPTIVE FUELS. ADDITIONALLY, ENHANCED DEEP-LAYER
WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ACCOMPANYING THE MIDLEVEL TROUGH WILL
OVERSPREAD THE WARM/DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE ACROSS THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES, YIELDING DRY/BREEZY (ELEVATED) FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS
DURING THE AFTERNOON.
FARTHER SOUTH, DRY/BREEZY SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS
PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS -- IN RESPONSE TO A PASSING
LOW-AMPLITUDE MIDLEVEL TROUGH. THESE DRY/BREEZY CONDITIONS ATOP
INCREASINGLY RECEPTIVE FUELS WILL FAVOR ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER
CONDITIONS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
..WEINMAN.. 08/22/2026
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
READ MORE
========================================
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
PYTHON PREPROCESSOR - DEVELOPED BY LU9DCE - VERSION 1.1
NEW DOMAIN LU9DCE.KOZOW.COM
PyCode - AI-powered coding assistant in your termina
https://pycode.kozow.com/
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
